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Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper addresses the design of safety certificates for stochastic systems, with a focus on ensuring long-term safety through fast real-time control. In stochastic environments, set invariance-based methods that restrict the probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-07 Zhuoyuan Wang , Haoming Jing , Christian Kurniawan , Albert Chern , Yorie Nakahira

The topics treated in this thesis are inherently two-fold. The first part considers the problem of a market maker optimally setting bid/ask quotes over a finite time horizon, to maximize her expected utility. The intensities of the orders…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Diego Zabaljauregui

Balancing safety and efficiency when planning in crowded scenarios with uncertain dynamics is challenging where it is imperative to accomplish the robot's mission without incurring any safety violations. Typically, chance constraints are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Khaled A. Mustafa , Oscar de Groot , Xinwei Wang , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

Complexity and uncertainty associated with commodity resource valuation and extraction requires stochastic control methods suitable for high dimensional states. Recent progress in duality and trajectory-wise techniques has introduced a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Juri Hinz , Tanya Tarnopolskaya , Jeremy Yee

Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Peter D. Tonner , Daniel V. Samarov , A. Gilad Kusne

Quantitative decision-making (QDM) principles address the issues related to the mapping of results to decisions, the synthesis of information and the quantification of uncertainty. Since the clinical drug development involves a succession…

Quantum computing is becoming strategically relevant to finance because several core financial bottlenecks are already defined by combinatorial search, expectation estimation, rare-event analysis, representation learning, and long-horizon…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-10 Hui Gong , Akash Sedai , Thomas Schroeder , Francesca Medda

This paper offers a commentary on the use of notions of statistical significance in choice modelling. We review the reasons for uncertainty in parameter estimates, provide a precise discussion on the computation of measures of uncertainty…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-18 Stephane Hess , Andrew Daly , Michiel Bliemer , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo Daziano , Thijs Dekker

The aim of this paper is to investigate risk-averse and distributionally robust modeling of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Process (MDP). We discuss construction of conditional nested risk functionals, a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Alexander Shapiro , Yan Li

Financial market risk forecasting involves applying mathematical models, historical data analysis and statistical methods to estimate the impact of future market movements on investments. This process is crucial for investors to develop…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jinxin Xu , Kaixian Xu , Yue Wang , Qinyan Shen , Ruisi Li

Motion planning is a fundamental problem and focuses on finding control inputs that enable a robot to reach a goal region while safely avoiding obstacles. However, in many situations, the state of the system may not be known but only…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Lars Lindemann , Matthew Cleaveland , Yiannis Kantaros , George J. Pappas

Quantum Optimal Control (QOC) supports the advance of quantum technologies by tackling its problems at the pulse level: Numerical approaches iteratively work towards a given target by parametrising the applied time-dependent fields with a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-05 Alice Pagano , Matthias M Müller , Tommaso Calarco , Simone Montangero , Phila Rembold

Long-term reservoir management often uses bounds on the reservoir level, between which the operator can work. However, these bounds are not always kept up-to-date with the latest knowledge about the reservoir drainage area, and thus become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Thibaut Cuvelier , Pierre Archambeau , Benjamin Dewals , Quentin Louveaux

Stochastic dominance is an important concept in probability theory, econometrics and social choice theory for robustly modeling agents' preferences between random outcomes. While many works have been dedicated to the univariate case, little…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Gabriel Rioux , Apoorva Nitsure , Mattia Rigotti , Kristjan Greenewald , Youssef Mroueh

Stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems is a crucial challenge in sequential decision-making. Recently, control-as-inference approaches have had considerable success, providing a viable risk-sensitive framework to address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Hany Abdulsamad , Sahel Iqbal , Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä

In this paper we briefly review two recent use-cases of quantum optimization algorithms applied to hard problems in finance and economy. Specifically, we discuss the prediction of financial crashes as well as dynamic portfolio optimization.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Samuel Mugel , Enrique Lizaso , Roman Orus

A widely used heuristic for solving stochastic optimization problems is to use a deterministic rolling horizon procedure, which has been modified to handle uncertainty (e.g. buffer stocks, schedule slack). This approach has been criticized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

The paper provides a framework for the assessment and optimization of the total risk of complex distributed systems. The framework takes into account the risk of each agent, which may arise from heterogeneous sources, as well as the risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Aray Almen , Darinka Dentcheva