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Measuring and managing risk has become crucial in modern decision making under stochastic uncertainty. In two-stage stochastic programming, mean risk models are essentially defined by a parametric recourse problem and a quantification of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Matthias Claus , Volker Krätschmer , Rüdiger Schultz

Classically, risk is characterized by a point value probability indicating the likelihood of occurrence of an adverse effect. However, there are domains where the attainability of objective numerical risk characterizations is increasingly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Paul J. Krause , John Fox , Philip Judson

This contribution examines optimization problems that involve stochastic dominance constraints. These problems have uncountably many constraints. We develop methods to solve the optimization problem by reducing the constraints to a finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Rajmadan Lakshmanan , Alois Pichler , Miloš Kopa

The project managers who deal with risk management are often faced with the difficult task of determining the relative importance of the various sources of risk that affect the project. This prioritisation is crucial to direct management…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-03 Fernando Acebes , José Manuel González-Varona , Adolfo López-Paredes , Javier Pajares

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

Calibrating blackbox machine learning models to achieve risk control is crucial to ensure reliable decision-making. A rich line of literature has been studying how to calibrate a model so that its predictions satisfy explicit finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Victor Li , Baiting Chen , Yuzhen Mao , Qi Lei , Zhun Deng

When simulating a complex stochastic system, the behavior of output response depends on input parameters estimated from finite real-world data, and the finiteness of data brings input uncertainty into the system. The quantification of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-20 Helin Zhu , Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

"What are the origins of risks?" and "How material are they?" -- these are the two most fundamental questions of any risk analysis. Quantitative Structuring -- a technology for building financial products -- provides economically meaningful…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-29 Andrei N. Soklakov

Managing stock efficiently remains a core issue in modern logistics, where companies must reconcile cost efficiency with dependable service despite unpredictable market conditions. Conventional models often overlook the direct connection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tianxiao Sun , Noah Schwarzkopf

In this paper, we consider a multi-objective control problem for stochastic systems that seeks to minimize a cost of interest while ensuring safety. We introduce a novel measure of safety risk using the conditional value-at-risk and a set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Samantha Samuelson , Insoon Yang

This paper deals with shape optimization for elastic materials under stochastic loads. It transfers the paradigm of stochastic dominance, which allows for flexible risk aversion via comparison with benchmark random variables, from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Rüdiger Schultz , Sascha Tölkes

Endowing robots with the capability of assessing risk and making risk-aware decisions is widely considered a key step toward ensuring safety for robots operating under uncertainty. But, how should a robot quantify risk? A natural and common…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-11-02 Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 E. Ruben van Beesten , Nick W. Koning , David P. Morton

We study an industrial computer code related to nuclear safety. A major topic of interest is to assess the uncertainties tainting the results of a computer simulation. In this work we gain robustness on the quantification of a risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Jerome Stenger , Fabrice Gamboa , Merlin Keller , Bertrand Iooss

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

This paper addresses risk awareness of stochastic optimization problems. Nested risk measures appear naturally in this context, as they allow beneficial reformulations for algorithmic treatments. The reformulations presented extend usual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

Quantum computers are not yet up to the task of providing computational advantages for practical stochastic diffusion models commonly used by financial analysts. In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic processes that are both…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-03 Eric Ghysels , Jack Morgan , Hamed Mohammadbagherpoor

The purpose of the research presented in this article is to develop a dynamic system for forecasting and minimizing the risks of an industrial company based on their quantitative assessment. The article considers the conceptual apparatus of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-02 Denis S. Gusev , Elena G. Demidova , Olga A. Novikova

Combining efficient and safe control for safety-critical systems is challenging. Robust methods may be overly conservative, whereas probabilistic controllers require a trade-off between efficiency and safety. In this work, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Tim Brüdigam , Robert Jacumet , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold