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We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a Boolean product distribution in $d$ dimensions, when the samples are truncated by a set $S \subset \{0, 1\}^d$ accessible through a membership oracle. This is the first time that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Dimitris Fotakis , Alkis Kalavasis , Christos Tzamos

We study a class of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with jumps modeling multistage Michaelis--Menten enzyme kinetics, in which a substrate is sequentially transformed into a product via a cascade of intermediate complexes. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Arnab Ganguly , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh

We introduce the exit time finite state projection (ETFSP) scheme, a truncation-based method that yields approximations to the exit distribution and occupation measure associated with the time of exit from a domain (i.e., the time of first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

In the setting of nonparametric multivariate regression with unknown error variance, we study asymptotic properties of a Bayesian method for estimating a regression function f and its mixed partial derivatives. We use a random series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-13 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper analyzes the performance of sequential importance sampling algorithms for estimating the number of perfect matchings in bipartite graphs. Precise bounds on the number of samples required to yield an accurate estimate are derived.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Andy Tsao

We study the problem of multi-compression and reconstructing a stochastic signal observed by several independent sensors (or compressors) that transmit compressed information to a fusion center. { The key aspect of this problem is to find…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Pablo Soto-Quiros , Anatoli Torokhti , Stanley J. Miklavcic

We propose a novel class of dynamic shrinkage processes for Bayesian time series and regression analysis. Building upon a global-local framework of prior construction, in which continuous scale mixtures of Gaussian distributions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

The Bootstrap Particle Filter (BPF) and the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are two widely used methods for sequential Bayesian filtering: the BPF is asymptotically exact but can suffer from weight degeneracy, while the EnKF scales well in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Ilja Klebanov , Claudia Schillings , Dana Wrischnig

Inverse parameter estimation of process-based models is a long-standing problem in many scientific disciplines. A key question for inverse parameter estimation is how to define the metric that quantifies how well model predictions fit to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-09 Florian Hartig , Claudia Dislich , Thorsten Wiegand , Andreas Huth

This paper proposes solutions to three issues pertaining to the estimation of finite mixture models with an unknown number of components: the non-identifiability induced by overfitting the number of components, the mixing limitations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Zoe van Havre , Nicole White , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

Stochastic Optimization is a cornerstone of operations research, providing a framework to solve optimization problems under uncertainty. Despite the development of numerous algorithms to tackle these problems, several persistent challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Di Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

This paper considers data-driven chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian posteriors afford a principled mechanism to incorporate data and prior knowledge into stochastic optimization problems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

A probabilistic approach for estimating sample qualities for stochastic differential equations is introduced in this paper. The aim is to provide a quantitative upper bound of the distance between the invariant probability measure of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Matthew Dobson , Jiayu Zhai , Yao Li

It is often the case in Statistics that one needs to compute sums of infinite series, especially in marginalising over discrete latent variables. This has become more relevant with the popularization of gradient-based techniques (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Luiz Max Carvalho , Wellington J. Silva , Guido A. Moreira

The reconstruction of phylogenetic trees from mixed populations has become important in the study of cancer evolution, as sequencing is often performed on bulk tumor tissue containing mixed populations of cells. Recent work has shown how to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Mohammed El-Kebir , Gryte Satas , Layla Oesper , Benjamin J. Raphael

Finite mixture models are statistical models which appear in many problems in statistics and machine learning. In such models it is assumed that data are drawn from random probability measures, called mixture components, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton D. Scott

Simulation-based inference (SBI) solves statistical inverse problems by repeatedly running a stochastic simulator and inferring posterior distributions from model-simulations. To improve simulation efficiency, several inference methods take…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-11 Michael Deistler , Pedro J Goncalves , Jakob H Macke

Background: The availability of high throughput methods for measurement of mRNA concentrations makes the reliability of conclusions drawn from the data and global quality control of samples and hybridization important issues. We address…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 S. Bilke , T. Breslin , M. Sigvardsson
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