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Recently, there has been much research into modelling of uncertainty in human perception through Fuzzy Sets (FSs). Most of this research has focused on allowing respondents to express their (intra) uncertainty using intervals. Here,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Javier Navarro , Christian Wagner

Frequentist (classical) and the Bayesian approaches to the construction of confidence limits are compared. Various examples which illustrate specific problems are presented. The Likelihood Principle and the Stopping Rule Paradox are…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Zech

The paper comments on properties of the so-called "Unified approach to the construction of classical confidence intervals", in which confidence intervals are computed in a Neyman construction using the likelihood ratio as ordering quantity.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-05-26 W. Wittek , H. Bartko , N. Galante , T. Schweizer

Ranking of intuitionsitic fuzzy number plays a vital role in decision making and other intuitionistic fuzzy applications. In this paper, we propose a new ranking method of intuitionistic fuzzy number based on distance measure. We first…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Debaroti Das , P. K. De

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

An interval-valued fuzzy answer set programming paradigm is proposed for nonmonotonic reasoning with vague and uncertain information. The set of sub-intervals of $[0,1]$ is considered as truth-space. The intervals are ordered using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Sandip Paul , Kumar Sankar Ray , Diganta Saha

In many common situations, a Bayesian credible interval will be, given the same data, very similar to a frequentist confidence interval, and researchers will interpret these intervals in a similar fashion. However, no predictable similarity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

Random measures provide flexible parameters for Bayesian nonparametric models. Given two different priors for a random measure, we develop a natural framework to investigate the rate at which the corresponding posteriors merge, as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

We show that confidence intervals in a variance component model, with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability, can be obtained by inverting certain test-statistics based on the score for the restricted likelihood. The results…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Yiqiao Zhang , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

Fuzzy time series forecasting methods are very popular among researchers for predicting future values as they are not based on the strict assumptions of traditional time series forecasting methods. Non-stochastic methods of fuzzy time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Kiran Bisht , Arun Kumar

In this paper, the Neyman-Pearson lemma for general sublinear expectations is studied. We weaken the assumptions for sublinear expectations in [1] and give a completely new method to study this problem. Applying Mazur-Orlicz Theorem and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Chuanfeng Sun , Shaolin Ji

Portnoy (2019) considered the problem of constructing an optimal confidence interval for the mean based on a single observation $\, X \sim {\cal{N}}(\mu , \, \sigma^2) \,$. Here we extend this result to obtaining 1-sample confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Stephen Portnoy , Anirban DasGupta

We compare several confidence intervals after model selection in the setting recently studied by Berk et al. [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 802-837], where the goal is to cover not the true parameter but a certain nonstandard quantity of interest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher , Karl Ewald

Standard random-effects meta-analysis methods perform poorly when applied to few studies only. Such settings however are commonly encountered in practice. It is unclear, whether or to what extent small-sample-size behaviour can be improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Svenja E. Seide , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

The prediction interval has been increasingly used in meta-analyses as a useful measure for assessing the magnitude of treatment effect and between-studies heterogeneity. In calculations of the prediction interval, although the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Yuta Hamaguchi , Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Tomohide Yamada , Toshi A. Furukawa

Gradual numbers have been introduced recently as a means of extending standard interval computation methods to fuzzy intervals. The literature treats monotonic functions of fuzzy intervals. In this paper, we combine the concepts of gradual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-12-20 Elizabeth Untiedt , Weldon Lodwick

Constructing distribution-free confidence intervals for the median, a classic problem in statistics, has seen numerous solutions in the literature. While coverage validity has received ample attention, less has been explored about interval…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

The widely claimed replicability crisis in science may lead to revised standards of significance. The customary frequentist confidence intervals, calibrated through hypothetical repetitions of the experiment that is supposed to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Luigi Pace , Alessandra Salvan