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We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

The scope of this research is the identification of unknown piecewise constant parameters of linear regression equation under the finite excitation condition. Compared to the known methods, to make the computational burden lower, only one…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We consider the problem of regression with selectively observed covariates in a nonparametric framework. Our approach relies on instrumental variables that explain variation in the latent covariates but have no direct effect on selection.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-15 Christoph Breunig , Peter Haan

Nonlinearity in many systems is heavily dependent on component variation and environmental factors such as temperature. This is often overcome by keeping signals close enough to the device's operating point that it appears approximately…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-18 Lachlan J. Gunn , Andrew Allison , Derek Abbott

We study consumer demand in large-scale retail settings with many products, multiple categories and repeated purchase behavior. While inertia and brand loyalty are well documented, existing discrete choice models typically focus on single…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Daniel Brunner , Florian Heiss , Anna B. Schmidt

Detecting and explaining anomalies is a challenging effort. This holds especially true when data exhibits strong dependencies and single measurements need to be assessed and analyzed in their respective context. In this work, we consider…

Mathematical models are invaluable for understanding and predicting how biological systems behave, although their construction requires specifying mechanisms and relationships that are often not perfectly known. In the presence of multiple…

This paper extends the identification results in Nevo and Rosen (2012) to nonparametric models. We derive nonparametric bounds on the average treatment effect when an imperfect instrument is available. As in Nevo and Rosen (2012), we assume…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-01 Kyunghoon Ban , Désiré Kédagni

We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jiaying Gu , Yao Luo

Control variables provide an important means of controlling for endogeneity in econometric models with nonseparable and/or multidimensional heterogeneity. We allow for discrete instruments, giving identification results under a variety of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-09 Whitney Newey , Sami Stouli

The statistical matching problem is a data integration problem with structured missing data. The general form involves the analysis of multiple datasets that only have a strict subset of variables jointly observed across all datasets. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

The paper redefines econometric identification under formal privacy constraints, particularly differential privacy (DP). Traditionally, econometrics focuses on point or partial identification, aiming to recover parameters precisely or…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-06 Tatiana Komarova , Denis Nekipelov

One obstacle to ``elevating" correlation to causation is the phenomenon of confounding, i.e., when a correlation between two variables exists because both variables are in fact caused by a third variable. The situation where the confounders…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-24 Caren Marzban , Yikun Zhang , Nicholas Bond , Michael Richman

Causal parameters may not be point identified in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, information about non-identified parameters, in the form of bounds, may still be recovered from the observed data in some cases. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-02 Noam Finkelstein , Ilya Shpitser

Existing online continuous-time parameter estimation laws provide exact (asymptotic/exponential or finite/fixed time) identification of dynamical linear/nonlinear systems parameters only if the external perturbations are equaled to zero or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-08 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We revisit inflation with non-canonical scalar fields by applying deformed-steepness exponential potentials. We show that the resulting scenario can lead to inflationary observables, and in particular to scalar spectral index and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-08-24 Smaragda Lola , Andreas Lymperis , Emmanuel N. Saridakis

Parameter identifiability refers to the capability of accurately inferring the parameter values of a model from its observations (data). Traditional analysis methods exploit analytical properties of the closed form model, in particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Nikolaos Evangelou , Alexander M. Stankovic , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Mark K. Transtrum

A seminal result in the ICA literature states that for $AY = \varepsilon$, if the components of $\varepsilon$ are independent and at most one is Gaussian, then $A$ is identified up to sign and permutation of its rows (Comon, 1994). In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Geert Mesters , Piotr Zwiernik

Personalized pricing analytics is becoming an essential tool in retailing. Upon observing the personalized information of each arriving customer, the firm needs to set a price accordingly based on the covariates such as income, education…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Ningyuan Chen , Guillermo Gallego

Hypothesis tests are a crucial statistical tool for data mining and are the workhorse of scientific research in many fields. Here we study differentially private tests of independence between a categorical and a continuous variable. We take…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-25 Simon Couch , Zeki Kazan , Kaiyan Shi , Andrew Bray , Adam Groce
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