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A persistent challenge in astronomical machine learning is a systematic bias where predictions compress the dynamic range of true values-high values are consistently predicted too low while low values are predicted too high. Understanding…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-17 Yuan-Sen Ting

Modeling natural phenomena with artificial neural networks (ANNs) often provides highly accurate predictions. However, ANNs often suffer from over-parameterization, complicating interpretation and raising uncertainty issues. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Eirik Høyheim , Lars Skaaret-Lund , Solve Sæbø , Aliaksandr Hubin

Many core concepts in political science are latent and therefore can only be measured with error. Measurement error in a predictor attenuates slope coefficient estimates in regression, biasing them toward zero. We show that widely used…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-04 Connor T. Jerzak , Stephen A. Jessee

We introduce twin neural network (TNN) regression. This method predicts differences between the target values of two different data points rather than the targets themselves. The solution of a traditional regression problem is then obtained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Sebastian J. Wetzel , Kevin Ryczko , Roger G. Melko , Isaac Tamblyn

Researchers now routinely use AI or other machine learning methods to estimate latent variables of economic interest, then plug-in the estimates as covariates in a regression. We show both theoretically and empirically that naively treating…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-01 Laura Battaglia , Timothy Christensen , Stephen Hansen , Szymon Sacher

Contemporary wisdom based on empirical studies suggests that standard recurrent neural networks (RNNs) do not perform well on tasks requiring long-term memory. However, precise reasoning for this behavior is still unknown. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Melikasadat Emami , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Parthe Pandit , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables (BNN+LVs) capture predictive uncertainty by explicitly modeling model uncertainty (via priors on network weights) and environmental stochasticity (via a latent input noise variable). In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Yaniv Yacoby , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

Neural networks are powerful tools in various applications, and quantifying their uncertainty is crucial for reliable decision-making. In the deep learning field, the uncertainties are usually categorized into aleatoric (data) and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Wang Zhang , Ziwen Ma , Subhro Das , Tsui-Wei Weng , Alexandre Megretski , Luca Daniel , Lam M. Nguyen

Binary Neural Network (BNN) shows its predominance in reducing the complexity of deep neural networks. However, it suffers severe performance degradation. One of the major impediments is the large quantization error between the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Mingbao Lin , Rongrong Ji , Zihan Xu , Baochang Zhang , Yan Wang , Yongjian Wu , Feiyue Huang , Chia-Wen Lin

In computer vision, the performance of deep neural networks (DNNs) is highly related to the feature extraction ability, i.e., the ability to recognize and focus on key pixel regions in an image. However, in this paper, we quantitatively and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Shanshan Zhong , Wushao Wen , Jinghui Qin , Qiangpu Chen , Zhongzhan Huang

The artificial neural network shows powerful ability of inference, but it is still criticized for lack of interpretability and prerequisite needs of big dataset. This paper proposes the Rule-embedded Neural Network (ReNN) to overcome the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Hu Wang

Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) enforces supervised information only at the output layer, and hidden layers are trained by back propagating the prediction error from the output layer without explicit supervision. We propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Zhuolin Jiang , Yaming Wang , Larry Davis , Walt Andrews , Viktor Rozgic

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are powerful machine learning methods used in many modern applications such as facial recognition, machine translation, and cancer diagnostics. A common issue with ANNs is that they usually have millions or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-08 Lars Skaaret-Lund , Geir Storvik , Aliaksandr Hubin

In this work, we introduce Adapt & Align, a method for continual learning of neural networks by aligning latent representations in generative models. Neural Networks suffer from abrupt loss in performance when retrained with additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Kamil Deja , Bartosz Cywiński , Jan Rybarczyk , Tomasz Trzciński

Real-time lightweight time series anomaly detection has become increasingly crucial in cybersecurity and many other domains. Its ability to adapt to unforeseen pattern changes and swiftly identify anomalies enables prompt responses and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Ming-Chang Lee , Jia-Chun Lin , Sokratis Katsikas

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) promise improved generalization under covariate shift by providing principled probabilistic representations of epistemic uncertainty. However, weight-based BNNs often struggle with high computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-13 Trung Trinh , Markus Heinonen , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

Optimization problems with an auxiliary latent variable structure in addition to the main model parameters occur frequently in computer vision and machine learning. The additional latent variables make the underlying optimization task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Christopher Zach , Huu Le

Complex nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in many fields. Moreover, we rarely have access to all of the relevant state variables governing the dynamics. Delay embedding allows us, in principle, to account for unobserved state variables.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Uttam Bhat , Stephan B. Munch
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