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To facilitate effective decision-making, precipitation datasets should include uncertainty estimates. Quantile regression with machine learning has been proposed for issuing such estimates. Distributional regression offers distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Quantum machine learning (QML) is making rapid progress, and QML-based models hold the promise of quantum advantages such as potentially higher expressivity and generalizability than their classical counterparts. Here, we present work on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-30 Mierk Schwabe , Lorenzo Pastori , Valentina Sarandrea , Veronika Eyring

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

Wildfires significantly impact natural ecosystems and human health, leading to biodiversity loss, increased hydrogeological risks, and elevated emissions of toxic substances. Climate change exacerbates these effects, particularly in regions…

Forecasting corporate financial distress increasingly requires capturing firms' adoption of transformative technologies such as artificial intelligence, yet model performance remains vulnerable to temporal distribution shifts as these…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Frederik Rech , Hussam Musa , Martin Šebeňa , Siele Jean Tuo

Predictions of biodiversity trajectories under climate change are crucial in order to act effectively in maintaining the diversity of species. In many ecological applications, future predictions are made under various global warming…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-19 Matthew Davidow , Cory Merow , Judy Che-Castaldo , Toryn Schafer , Marie-Christine Duker , Derek Corcoran , David Matteson

The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

We assess the value of machine learning as an accelerator for the parameterisation schemes of operational weather forecasting systems, specifically the parameterisation of non-orographic gravity wave drag. Emulators of this scheme can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-11 Matthew Chantry , Sam Hatfield , Peter Duben , Inna Polichtchouk , Tim Palmer

Within the context of the banking-related literature on contingent convertible bonds, we comprehensively formalise the design and features of a relatively new type of insurance-linked security, called a contingent convertible catastrophe…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-24 Krzysztof Burnecki , Mario Nicoló Giuricich , Zbigniew Palmowski

Climate change poses significant challenges to the agricultural and financial sectors, affecting crop productivity and overall financial stability. This study evaluates the robustness of the Actuaries Climate Index$^{TM}$ (ACI), a newer…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-05 Cem Yavrum , A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel , José Garrido

Climate change is causing the intensification of rainfall extremes. Precipitation projections with high spatial resolution are important for society to prepare for these changes, e.g. to model flooding impacts. Physics-based simulations for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 Henry Addison , Elizabeth Kendon , Suman Ravuri , Laurence Aitchison , Peter AG Watson

This paper addresses the critical challenge of improving predictions of climate extreme events, specifically heat waves, using machine learning methods. Our work is framed as a classification problem in which we try to predict whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Julien Collard , Pierre Gentine , Tian Zheng

Accurate prediction of atmospheric optical turbulence in localized environments is essential for estimating the performance of free-space optical systems. Macro-meteorological models developed to predict turbulent effects in one environment…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-30 Christopher Jellen , Charles Nelson , John Burkhardt , Cody Brownell

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-30 Wei Cui , Teng Ma , Lin Zhao , Yaojun Ge

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Systems exhibiting nonlinear dynamics, including but not limited to chaos, are ubiquitous across Earth Sciences such as Meteorology, Hydrology, Climate and Ecology, as well as Biology such as neural and cardiac processes. However, System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Nishant Yadav , Sai Ravela , Auroop R. Ganguly

It is important to develop sustainable processes in materials science and manufacturing that are environmentally friendly. AI can play a significant role in decision support here as evident from our earlier research leading to tools…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Aparna S. Varde , Jianyu Liang

Saving rainforests is a key to halting adverse climate changes. In this paper, we introduce an innovative solution built on acoustic surveillance and machine learning technologies to help rainforest conservation. In particular, We propose…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-08-22 Yuan Liu , Zhongwei Cheng , Jie Liu , Bourhan Yassin , Zhe Nan , Jiebo Luo
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