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Aircraft performance models play a key role in airline operations, especially in planning a fuel-efficient flight. In practice, manufacturers provide guidelines which are slightly modified throughout the aircraft life cycle via the tuning…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-05 Florent Dewez , Benjamin Guedj , Vincent Vandewalle

Accurate and efficient prediction of aeroengine performance is of paramount importance for engine design, maintenance, and optimization endeavours. However, existing methodologies often struggle to strike an optimal balance among predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Tong Mo , Shiran Dai , An Fu , Xiaomeng Zhu , Shuxiao Li

Accurate estimation of aerodynamic forces is essential for advancing the control, modeling, and design of flapping-wing aerial robots with dynamic morphing capabilities. In this paper, we investigate two distinct methodologies for force…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Bibek Gupta , Mintae Kim , Albert Park , Eric Sihite , Koushil Sreenath , Alireza Ramezani

Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex and large-scale predictive problems. The recent success of deep neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-14 Roy Shivam Ram Shreshtth , Arnab Hazra , Gourab Mukherjee

Machine learning-based models provide a promising way to rapidly acquire transonic swept wing flow fields but suffer from large computational costs in establishing training datasets. Here, we propose a physics-embedded transfer learning…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-15 Yunjia Yang , Runze Li , Yufei Zhang , Lu Lu , Haixin Chen

The aerodynamic optimization process of cars requires multiple iterations between aerodynamicists and stylists. Response Surface Modeling and Reduced-Order Modeling are commonly used to eliminate the overhead due to Computational Fluid…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Sam Jacob Jacob , Markus Mrosek , Carsten Othmer , Harald Köstler

Discrete choice models are fundamental tools in management science, economics, and marketing for understanding and predicting decision-making. Logit-based models are dominant in applied work, largely due to their convenient closed-form…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Easton Huch , Michael Keane

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

Model rockets have been employed in student projects, but very few papers in aerospace education offer concise summaries of activities at university-course levels. This paper aims to address this gap in the literature. The rockets used by…

Physics Education · Physics 2017-08-08 Thomas A. Campbell , Masataka Okutsu

This paper presents a method for generating probabilistic descent trajectories in simulations of real-world airspace. A dataset of 116,066 trajectories harvested from Mode S radar returns in UK airspace was used to train and test the model.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

The recent development of novel aerial vehicles capable of physically interacting with the environment leads to new applications such as contact-based inspection. These tasks require the robotic system to exchange forces with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Weixuan Zhang , Lionel Ott , Marco Tognon , Roland Siegwart

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular model for density estimation and representation learning. Canonically, the variational principle suggests to prefer an expressive inference model so that the variational approximation is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-10 Rui Shu , Hung H. Bui , Shengjia Zhao , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stefano Ermon

In this study, a method for predicting unsteady aerodynamic forces under different initial conditions using a limited number of samples based on transfer learning is proposed, aiming to avoid the need for large-scale high-fidelity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-27 Wen Ji , Xueyuan Sun , Chunna Li , Xuyi Jia , Gang Wang , Chunlin Gong

Machine learned force fields typically require manual construction of training sets consisting of thousands of first principles calculations, which can result in low training efficiency and unpredictable errors when applied to structures…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-21 Jonathan Vandermause , Steven B. Torrisi , Simon Batzner , Yu Xie , Lixin Sun , Alexie M. Kolpak , Boris Kozinsky

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

This article presents an original methodology for the prediction of steady turbulent aerodynamic fields. Due to the important computational cost of high-fidelity aerodynamic simulations, a surrogate model is employed to cope with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-05 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

Simulation-based methods for statistical inference have evolved dramatically over the past 50 years, keeping pace with technological advancements. The field is undergoing a new revolution as it embraces the representational capacity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Raphaël Huser

Accurate modeling of aerodynamic loads is essential for understanding and predicting the responses of complex structural systems. However, these models often rely on simplifications of the true physical forces, introducing assumptions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Gledson Rodrigo Tondo , Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal

Bayesian inference is a powerful tool for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems. However, for nonlinear oscillator networks such as Kuramoto models, widely used to study synchronization phenomena in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Emma Hannula , Jana de Wiljes , Matthew T. Moores , Heikki Haario , Lassi Roininen

Amortized simulator-based inference offers a powerful framework for tackling Bayesian inference in computational fields such as engineering or neuroscience, increasingly leveraging modern generative methods like diffusion models to map…

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