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In this research, we propose a novel approach for the quantification of credit portfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR) sensitivity to asset correlations with the use of synthetic financial correlation matrices generated with deep learning models. In…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-15 Sergio Caprioli , Emanuele Cagliero , Riccardo Crupi

Evaluation of AI systems often requires synthetic test cases, particularly for rare or safety-critical conditions that are difficult to observe in operational data. Generative AI offers a promising approach for producing such data through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Damian J. Ruck , Paul Vautravers , Oliver Chalkley , Jake Thomas

Volatility, which indicates the dispersion of returns, is a crucial measure of risk and is hence used extensively for pricing and discriminating between different financial investments. As a result, accurate volatility prediction receives…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-02 Zeda Xu , John Liechty , Sebastian Benthall , Nicholas Skar-Gislinge , Christopher McComb

We investigate the forecasting ability of the most commonly used benchmarks in financial economics. We approach the usual caveats of probabilistic forecasts studies -small samples, limited models and non-holistic validations- by performing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-08 Ricardo Crisostomo , Lorena Couso

Insufficient training data is a major bottleneck for most deep learning practices, not least in medical imaging where data is difficult to collect and publicly available datasets are scarce due to ethics and privacy. This work investigates…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Gabriel Eilertsen , Apostolia Tsirikoglou , Claes Lundström , Jonas Unger

Synthetic data has a key role to play in data sharing by statistical agencies and other generators of statistical data products. Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), typically applied to image synthesis, are also a promising method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Nian Ran , Bahrul Ilmi Nasution , Claire Little , Richard Allmendinger , Mark Elliot

We present a novel framework for leveraging synthetic ICU time-series data not only to train but also to rigorously and trustworthily evaluate predictive models, both at the population level and within fine-grained demographic subgroups.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Mahmoud Ibrahim , Bart Elen , Chang Sun , Gökhan Ertaylan , Michel Dumontier

Data scarcity and sparsity in bio-manufacturing poses challenges for accurate model development, process monitoring, and optimization. We aim to replicate and capture the complex dynamics of industrial bioprocesses by proposing the use of a…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Shawn M. Gibford , Mohammad Reza Boskabadi , Christopher J. Savoie , Seyed Soheil Mansouri

The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components. We propose a novel data-driven approach for simulating realistic, high-dimensional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Rama Cont , Mihai Cucuringu , Renyuan Xu , Chao Zhang

Ensuring the generalisability of clinical machine learning (ML) models across diverse healthcare settings remains a significant challenge due to variability in patient demographics, disease prevalence, and institutional practices. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Bradley Segal , Joshua Fieggen , David Clifton , Lei Clifton

Time series synthesis is an effective approach to ensuring the secure circulation of time series data. Existing time series synthesis methods typically perform temporal modeling based on random sequences to generate target sequences, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Xuan Hou , Shuhan Liu , Zhaohui Peng , Yaohui Chu , Yue Zhang , Yining Wang

Generating realistic graph-structured data is challenging due to discrete connectivity, varying graph sizes, and class-specific structural patterns. Recent Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN)-based graph generation methods improve edge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 James Sargant , Seyedeh Ava Razi Razavi , Renata Dividino , Sheridan Houghten

We propose Generative Adversarial Regression (GAR), a framework for learning conditional risk scenarios through generators aligned with downstream risk objectives. GAR builds on a regression characterization of conditional risk for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Saeed Asadi , Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

In image generation, Multiple Latent Variable Generative Models (MLVGMs) employ multiple latent variables to gradually shape the final images, from global characteristics to finer and local details (e.g., StyleGAN, NVAE), emerging as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Dario Serez , Marco Cristani , Alessio Del Bue , Vittorio Murino , Pietro Morerio

Synthetic data generation offers promise for addressing data scarcity and privacy concerns in educational technology, yet practitioners lack empirical guidance for selecting between traditional resampling techniques and modern deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Tapiwa Amion Chinodakufa , Ashfaq Ali Shafin , Khandaker Mamun Ahmed

Robust estimation of ground motions generated by scenario earthquakes is critical for many engineering applications. We leverage recent advances in Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to develop a new framework for synthesizing…

Time series data are essential for a wide range of applications, particularly in developing robust machine learning models. However, access to high-quality datasets is often limited due to privacy concerns, acquisition costs, and labeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Jaime Vale , Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Fernando Silva

Exploring generative model training for synthetic tabular data, specifically in sequential contexts such as credit card transaction data, presents significant challenges. This paper addresses these challenges, focusing on attaining both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Din-Yin Hsieh , Chi-Hua Wang , Guang Cheng

The financial industry is increasingly seeking robust methods to address the challenges posed by data scarcity and low signal-to-noise ratios, which limit the application of deep learning techniques in stock market analysis. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Guangming Che

Privacy-preserving synthetic data offers a promising solution to harness segregated data in high-stakes domains where information is compartmentalized for regulatory, privacy, or institutional reasons. This survey provides a comprehensive…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Viktor Schlegel , Anil A Bharath , Zilong Zhao , Kevin Yee