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This article examines how legacy lending relationships shape the allocation of emergency credit under severe information frictions. Using a novel dataset linking Small Business Administration (SBA) loan records with Dun and Bradstreet…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-29 Chunyu Qu

We study how firm heterogeneity and market power affect macroeconomic fragility, defined as the probability of long slumps. We propose a theory in which the positive interaction between firm entry, competition and factor supply can give…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-13 Alessandro Ferrari , Francisco Queirós

Economic models assume that payroll tax burdens fall fully on workers, but where does tax incidence fall when taxes are firm-specific and time-varying? Unemployment insurance in the United States has the key feature of varying both across…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-13 Audrey Guo

Using a comprehensive dataset collected by the Federal Reserve, I find that over one-third of corporate loans issued by US banks are fully guaranteed by legal entities separate from borrowing firms. Using an empirical strategy that accounts…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Mehdi Beyhaghi

This study explores the impact of unemployment benefits on employment quality, job stability, and tenure within complex labour market dynamics. Given the macroeconomic consequences of changes in unemployment benefits, including their impact…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-31 Jessica Reale , Frederik Banning , Michael Roos

Unemployment benefits in the US were extended by up to 73 weeks during the Great Recession. Equilibrium labor market theory indicates that extensions of benefit duration impact not only search decisions by job seekers but also job vacancy…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang

The aggregate ability of child care providers to meet local demand for child care is linked to employment rates in many sectors of the economy. Amid growing concern regarding child care provider sustainability due to the COVID-19 pandemic,…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-04 Phillip Sherlock , Herman T. Knopf , Robert Chapman , Maya Schreiber , Courtney K. Blackwell

We study a credit risk model which captures effects of economic interactions on a firm's default probability. Economic interactions are represented as a functionally defined graph, and the existence of both cooperative, and competitive,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

In this study, we seek to understand how macroeconomic factors such as GDP, inflation, Unemployment Insurance, and S&P 500 index; as well as microeconomic factors such as health, race, and educational attainment impacted the unemployment…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Alrick Green , Ayesha Nasim , Jaydeep Radadia , Devi Manaswi Kallam , Viswas Kalyanam , Samfred Owenga , Huthaifa I. Ashqar

Nowadays small and medium-sized enterprises have become an essential part of the national economy. With the increasing number of such enterprises, how to evaluate their credit risk becomes a hot issue. Unlike big enterprises with massive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Marui Du , Yue Ma , Zuoquan Zhang

There is a massive underserved market for small business lending in the US with the Federal Reserve estimating over \$650B in unmet annual financing needs. Assessing the credit risk of a small business is key to making good decisions…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Khalid El-Awady

Unemployment insurance provides temporary cash benefits to eligible unemployed workers. Benefits are sometimes extended by discretion during economic slumps. In a model that features temporary benefits and sequential job opportunities, a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-22 Rich Ryan

Various poverty reduction strategies are being implemented in the pursuit of eliminating extreme poverty. One such strategy is increased access to microcredit in poor areas around the world. Microcredit, typically defined as the supply of…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-23 Melvyn Weeks , Tobias Gabel Christiansen

Supply chain disruptions constitute an often underestimated risk for financial stability. As in financial networks, systemic risks in production networks arises when the local failure of one firm impacts the production of others and might…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Experimental studies regularly show that third-party punishment (TPP) substantially exists in various settings. This study further investigates the robustness of TPP under an environment where context effects are involved. In our…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-20 Changkuk Im , Jinkwon Lee

We examine how career concerns influence the behavior and mobility of financial advisers. Drawing on a uniquely comprehensive matched panel that combines employer-employee data with a longstanding national ranking, our study tests…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Jun Honda

Parametric Portfolio Policies (PPP) estimate optimal portfolio weights directly as functions of observable signals by maximizing expected utility, bypassing the need to model asset returns and covariances. However, PPP ignores policy risk.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Miguel C. Herculano

Workplace stress is often considered to be negative, yet lab studies on individuals suggest that not all stress is bad. There are two types of stress: distress refers to harmful stimuli, while eustress refers to healthy, euphoric stimuli…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Sanja Šćepanović , Marios Constantinides , Daniele Quercia , Seunghyun Kim

Prize linked savings accounts provide a return in the form of randomly chosen accounts receiving large cash prizes, in lieu of a guaranteed and uniform interest rate. This model became legal for American national banks upon bipartisan…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-19 Oisin Connolly

During recent crisis, wage subsidies played a major role in sheltering firms and households from economic shocks. During COVID-19, most workers were affected and many liberal welfare states introduced new temporary wage subsidies to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-10 Jules Linden , Cathal O'Donoghue , Denisa M. Sologon
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