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This paper presents a novel approach to optimizing profit margins in non-life insurance markets through a gradient descent-based method, targeting three key objectives: 1) maximizing profit margins, 2) ensuring conversion rates, and 3)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Vincent Grari , Marcin Detyniecki

Learning effective pricing strategies is crucial in digital marketplaces, especially when buyers' valuations are unknown and must be inferred through interaction. We study the online contextual pricing problem, where a seller observes a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Joon Suk Huh , Kirthevasan Kandasamy

We study U.S. Treasury yield curve forecasting under distributional uncertainty and recast forecasting as an operations research and managerial decision problem. Rather than minimizing average forecast error, the forecaster selects a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jinjun Liu , Ming-Yen Cheng

Selling reserved instances (or virtual machines) is a basic service in cloud computing. In this paper, we consider a more flexible pricing model for instance reservation, in which a customer can propose the time length and number of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Jia Zhang , Weidong Ma , Tao Qin , Xiaoming Sun , Tie-Yan Liu

Recently, there is growing interest and need for dynamic pricing algorithms, especially, in the field of online marketplaces by offering smart pricing options for big online stores. We present an approach to adjust prices based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 David Müller , Yurii Nesterov , Vladimir Shikhman

This paper presents a novel non-stationary dynamic pricing algorithm design, where pricing agents face incomplete demand information and market environment shifts. The agents run price experiments to learn about each product's demand curve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-09 Po-Yi Liu , Chi-Hua Wang , Henghsiu Tsai

We have created a framework for analyzing subscription based businesses in terms of a unified metric which we call SCV (single customer value). The major advance in this paper is to model customer churn as an exponential decay variable,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-20 Rahul Madhavan , Ankit Baraskar

In many markets, like electricity or cloud computing markets, providers incur large costs for keeping sufficient capacity in reserve to accommodate demand fluctuations of a mostly fixed user base. These costs are significantly affected by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Ludwig Dierks , Sven Seuken

In this paper, we review pricing of variable annuity living and death guarantees offered to retail investors in many countries. Investors purchase these products to take advantage of market growth and protect savings. We present pricing of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Xiaolin Luo

Reducing user attrition, i.e. churn, is a broad challenge faced by several industries. In mobile social games, decreasing churn is decisive to increase player retention and rise revenues. Churn prediction models allow to understand player…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-09 África Periáñez , Alain Saas , Anna Guitart , Colin Magne

We study an online dynamic pricing problem where the potential demand at each time period $t=1,2,\ldots, T$ is stochastic and dependent on the price. However, a perishable inventory is imposed at the beginning of each time $t$, censoring…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Jianyu Xu , Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Yu-Xiang Wang

Portfolio optimization requires dynamic allocation of funds by balancing the risk and return tradeoff under dynamic market conditions. With the recent advancements in AI, Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) has gained prominence in providing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-08 Arishi Orra , Aryan Bhambu , Himanshu Choudhary , Manoj Thakur , Selvaraju Natarajan

Ancillaries have become a major source of revenue and profitability in the travel industry. Yet, conventional pricing strategies are based on business rules that are poorly optimized and do not respond to changing market conditions. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Naman Shukla , Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Ken Otwell , Lavanya Marla , Kartik Yellepeddi

Decisions for a variable renewable resource generators commitment in the energy market are typically made in advance when little information is obtainable about wind availability and market prices. Much research has been published…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Jose L. Crespo-Vazquez , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Xin Fang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

This paper develops a novel multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) framework for reinsurance treaty bidding, addressing long-standing inefficiencies in traditional broker-mediated placement processes. We pose the core research question:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Stella C. Dong , James R. Finlay

On-demand service platforms face a challenging problem of forecasting a large collection of high-frequency regional demand data streams that exhibit instabilities. This paper develops a novel forecast framework that is fast and scalable,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Yu Jeffrey Hu , Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

The robust multi-product pricing problem is to determine the prices of a collection of products so as to maximize the worst-case revenue, where the worst case is taken over an uncertainty set of demand models that the firm expects could be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Xinyi Guan , Velibor V. Mišić

We present a general framework for optimizing the Conditional Value-at-Risk for dynamical systems using stochastic search. The framework is capable of handling the uncertainty from the initial condition, stochastic dynamics, and uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Ziyi Wang , Oswin So , Keuntaek Lee , Camilo A. Duarte , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Pricing decisions stand out as one of the most critical tasks a company faces, particularly in today's digital economy. As with other business decision-making problems, pricing unfolds in a highly competitive and uncertain environment.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Daniel García Rasines , Roi Naveiro , David Ríos Insua , Simón Rodríguez Santana
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