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Reliable human evaluation is critical to the development of successful natural language generation models, but achieving it is notoriously difficult. Stability is a crucial requirement when ranking systems by quality: consistent ranking of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Parker Riley , Daniel Deutsch , George Foster , Viresh Ratnakar , Ali Dabirmoghaddam , Markus Freitag

Risk assessment of a robot in controlled environments, such as laboratories and proving grounds, is a common means to assess, certify, validate, verify, and characterize the robots' safety performance before, during, and even after their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Linda Capito , Guillermo A. Castillo , Bowen Weng

This paper examines how to make large language models reliable for high-stakes legal work by reducing hallucinations. It distinguishes three AI paradigms: (1) standalone generative models ("creative oracle"), (2) basic retrieval-augmented…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Alex Dantart

Ranking populations such as institutions based on certain characteristics is often of interest, and these ranks are typically estimated using samples drawn from the populations. Due to sample randomness, it is important to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Onrina Chandra , Min-ge Xie

Fine-tuning large pre-trained language models for downstream tasks remains a critical challenge in natural language processing. This paper presents an empirical analysis comparing two efficient fine-tuning methods - BitFit and adapter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Nigel Doering , Cyril Gorlla , Trevor Tuttle , Adhvaith Vijay

Confidence estimation (CE) indicates how reliable the answers of large language models are and impacts user trust and decision-making. Existing evaluations mainly concern the alignment between confidence and correctness, but ignore the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yuxi Xia , Dennis Ulmer , Terra Blevins , Yihong Liu , Hinrich Schütze , Benjamin Roth

We analyze different types of simulations that applied researchers can use to assess whether their inference methods reliably control false-positive rates. We show that different assessments involve trade-offs, varying in the types of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Bruno Ferman

Portfolio backtesting is the primary tool for evaluating investment strategies before deployment, yet practitioners implicitly assume that different engines produce identical results for the same strategy. we formalise implementation risk,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Dong Yin , Takeshi Miki , Vladislav Lesnichenko , Vasyl Gural

Models often need to be constrained to a certain size for them to be considered interpretable. For example, a decision tree of depth 5 is much easier to understand than one of depth 50. Limiting model size, however, often reduces accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Abhishek Ghose , Balaraman Ravindran

AI generated predictions increasingly inform decision making in critical tasks, and therefore must be trustworthy. One widely used measure of trustworthiness is calibration, which requires that the predictions match the true frequencies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Konstantina Bairaktari , Lunjia Hu , Huy L. Nguyen , Jonathan Ullman

Generalized linear models are often misspecified due to overdispersion, heteroscedasticity and ignored nuisance variables. Existing quasi-likelihood methods for testing in misspecified models often do not provide satisfactory type-I error…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J Goeman , Livio Finos

Missing data is pervasive in econometric applications, and rarely is it plausible that the data are missing (completely) at random. This paper proposes a methodology for studying the robustness of results drawn from incomplete datasets.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Daniel Ober-Reynolds

In safety-critical deep learning applications robustness measurement is a vital pre-deployment phase. However, existing robustness verification methods are not sufficiently practical for deploying machine learning systems in the real world.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Tianle Zhang , Wenjie Ruan , Jonathan E. Fieldsend

The utilisation of Deep Learning (DL) is advancing into increasingly more sophisticated applications. While it shows great potential to provide transformational capabilities, DL also raises new challenges regarding its reliability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Xingyu Zhao , Wei Huang , Alec Banks , Victoria Cox , David Flynn , Sven Schewe , Xiaowei Huang

In machine learning, the selection of a promising model from a potentially large number of competing models and the assessment of its generalization performance are critical tasks that need careful consideration. Typically, model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-06 Pascal Rink , Werner Brannath

We propose an interpretable AI-assisted reliability diagnostic framework for parameterized root-finding schemes based on kNN-LLE proxy stability profiling and multi-horizon early prediction. The approach augments a numerical solver with a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Bruno Carpentieri , Andrei Velichko , Mudassir Shams , Paola Lecca

Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist. In these cases, it is sometimes necessary to estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Niccolò Dalmasso , Ann B. Lee , Rafael Izbicki , Taylor Pospisil , Ilmun Kim , Chieh-An Lin

Supervised machine learning techniques have shown promising results in code analysis and optimization problems. However, a learning-based solution can be brittle because minor changes in hardware or application workloads -- such as facing a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Huanting Wang , Patrick Lenihan , Zheng Wang

In the era of Model-as-a-Service, organizations increasingly rely on third-party AI models for rapid deployment. However, the dynamic nature of emerging AI applications, the continual introduction of new datasets, and the growing number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Zihan Zhu , Yanqiu Wu , Qiongkai Xu

A central question in artificial intelligence is the extent to which machine learning models comprehend mathematics. To address this, we propose a novel framework for measuring mathematical reasoning that moves beyond standard benchmarks to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-13 V. S. Raghu Parupudi