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A hybrid dynamical system switches between dynamic regimes at time- or state-triggered events. We propose an offline algorithm that simultaneously estimates discrete and continuous components of a hybrid system's state. We formulate state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Jize Zhang , Andrew M. Pace , Samuel A. Burden , Aleksandr Aravkin

In an unfamiliar setting, a model-based reinforcement learning agent can be limited by the accuracy of its world model. In this work, we present a novel, training-free approach to improving the performance of such agents separately from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Martin Benfeghoul , Umais Zahid , Qinghai Guo , Zafeirios Fountas

In model-based reinforcement learning, generative and temporal models of environments can be leveraged to boost agent performance, either by tuning the agent's representations during training or via use as part of an explicit planning…

We present Unified Latent Dynamics (ULD), a novel reinforcement learning algorithm that unifies the efficiency of model-free methods with the representational strengths of model-based approaches, without incurring planning overhead. By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Jashaswimalya Acharjee , Balaraman Ravindran

Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

We show that nonequilibrium dynamics can play a constructive role in unsupervised machine learning by inducing the spontaneous emergence of latent-state cycles. We introduce a model in which visible and hidden variables interact through two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-05 Marco Baiesi , Alberto Rosso

Deep Reinforcement Learning has shown its ability in solving complicated problems directly from high-dimensional observations. However, in end-to-end settings, Reinforcement Learning algorithms are not sample-efficient and requires long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Nicolò Botteghi , Mannes Poel , Beril Sirmacek , Christoph Brune

In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

This work presents a hybrid modeling approach to data-driven learning and representation of unknown physical processes and closure parameterizations. These hybrid models are suitable for situations where the mechanistic description of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-17 Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Adil Rasheed , Ionel M. Navon

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

Goal-conditioned planning benefits from learned low-dimensional representations of rich observations. While compact latent representations typically learned from variational autoencoders or inverse dynamics enable goal-conditioned decision…

Stochastic frontier models have attracted considerable attention due to the incorporation of an inefficiency term in addition to the conventional error term. In this paper, we propose a general estimation framework for panel stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kazuki Tomioka , Thomas T. Yang , Xibin Zhang

The formalism of state estimation and hidden Markov models (HMMs) can simplify and clarify the discussion of stochastic thermodynamics in the presence of feedback and measurement errors. After reviewing the basic formalism, we use it to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-13 John Bechhoefer

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Various neural network architectures are used in many of the state-of-the-art approaches for real-time nonlinear state estimation in dynamical systems. With the ever-increasing incorporation of these data-driven models into the estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Devin Hunter , Chinwendu Enyioha

Latent space models have been widely adopted in modeling network data. Developing statistical inference for estimated model parameters enables quantifying associated uncertainty and is pivotal for downstream tasks. Despite recent progress…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Yuang Tian , Jiajin Sun , Yinqiu He

The response time of physical computational elements is finite, and neurons are no exception. In hierarchical models of cortical networks each layer thus introduces a response lag. This inherent property of physical dynamical systems…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-28 Paul Haider , Benjamin Ellenberger , Laura Kriener , Jakob Jordan , Walter Senn , Mihai A. Petrovici

The accurate estimation of the state of complex uncertain physical systems requires reconciling theoretical models, with inherent imperfections, with noisy experimental data. In this work, we propose an effective hybrid approach that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Stiven Briand Massala , Ludovic Chamoin , Massimo Picca Ciamarra

Reinforcement learning (RL) methods have been shown to be capable of learning intelligent behavior in rich domains. However, this has largely been done in simulated domains without adequate focus on the process of building the simulator. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Aditya Modi , Nan Jiang , Ambuj Tewari , Satinder Singh

This work presents a scalable control framework based on nonlinear Model Predictive Control for high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach addresses the key challenges of model scalability and partial observability by…