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Interpreting complex datasets remains a major challenge for scientists, particularly due to high dimensionality and collinearity among variables. We introduce a novel application of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Luis A. De la Fuente , Hernan A. Moreno , Laura V. Alvarez , Hoshin V. Gupta

Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) are highly effective in long-term time series forecasting due to their ability to efficiently represent nonlinear relationships and exhibit local plasticity. However, prior research on KANs has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Xiaoyan Kui , Canwei Liu , Qinsong Li , Zhipeng Hu , Yangyang Shi , Weixin Si , Beiji Zou

Understanding the variations in trading price (volatility), and its response to exogenous information, is a well-researched topic in finance. In this study, we focus on finding stable and accurate volatility predictors for a relatively new…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-07 M. Eren Akbiyik , Mert Erkul , Killian Kaempf , Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

In this paper, we study the possibility of inferring early warning indicators (EWIs) for periods of extreme bitcoin price volatility using features obtained from Bitcoin daily transaction graphs. We infer the low-dimensional representations…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-08 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dijana Tolic , Matija Piskorec , Zhang Ce , Irena Vodenska

Complex dynamical systems governed by holomorphic maps such as $z^2 + c$ exhibit fractal boundaries with extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. Accurately modelling these structures from data requires methods that respect the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Bhaskar Ranjan Karn , Dinesh Kumar

In modern times, the cryptocurrency market is one of the world's most rapidly rising financial markets. The cryptocurrency market is regarded to be more volatile and illiquid than traditional markets such as equities, foreign exchange, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Anika Tahsin Meem

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are widely used in fault diagnosis of mechanical systems due to their powerful feature extraction and classification capabilities. However, the CNN is a typical black-box model, and the mechanism of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Qian Chen , Xingjian Dong , Guowei Tu , Dong Wang , Baoxuan Zhao , Zhike Peng

This study investigates the impact of data source diversity on the performance of cryptocurrency forecasting models by integrating various data categories, including technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment and interest metrics,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-16 Giorgos Demosthenous , Chryssis Georgiou , Eliada Polydorou

In time series forecasting, decomposition-based algorithms break aggregate data into meaningful components and are therefore appreciated for their particular advantages in interpretability. Recent algorithms often combine machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Yiqi Sun , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Yongzhi Qi , Hao Hu , Zuojun Max Shen

Neutrinos can experience fast flavor conversions (FFCs) in highly dense astrophysical environments, such as core-collapse supernovae and neutron star mergers, potentially affecting energy transport and other processes. Simulating fast…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-03-23 Haihao Shi , Zhenyang Huang , Qiyu Yan , Junda Zhou , Guoliang Lü , Xuefei Chen

Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) have been recently proposed as a machine learning framework that is more interpretable and controllable than the multi-layer perceptron. Various network architectures have been proposed within the KAN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Tatiana Boura , Stasinos Konstantopoulos

The empirical success of deep learning has spurred its application to the radio-frequency (RF) domain, leading to significant advances in Deep Wireless Sensing (DWS). However, most existing DWS models function as black boxes with limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Xie Zhang , Yina Wang , Chenshu Wu

Nuclear mass prediction is one of the core issues in nuclear physics research, yet it faces the challenge of small-sample datasets with high complexity. This study introduces the Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) into the refinement of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-03-17 Yanhua Lu , Tianshuai Shang , Pengxiang Du , Jian Li , Haozhao Liang

Multi-modal reasoning requires the seamless integration of visual and linguistic cues, yet existing Chain-of-Thought methods suffer from two critical limitations in cross-modal scenarios: (1) over-reliance on single coarse-grained image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Wenting Lu , Didi Zhu , Tao Shen , Donglin Zhu , Ayong Ye , Chao Wu

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the prediction of Bitcoin prices has garnered substantial attention due to its potential impact on financial markets and investment strategies. This paper propose a comparative study on hybrid machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Shun Liu , Kexin Wu , Chufeng Jiang , Bin Huang , Danqing Ma

Decentralized prediction markets (DePMs) allow open participation in event-based wagering without fully relying on centralized intermediaries. We review the history of DePMs which date back to 2011 and includes hundreds of proposals.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Nahid Rahman , Joseph Al-Chami , Jeremy Clark

Accurate spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for numerous complex systems but remains challenging due to complex volatility patterns and spectral entanglement in conventional graph neural networks (GNNs). While decomposition-integrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Osama Ahmad , Lukas Wesemann , Fabian Waschkowski , Zubair Khalid

We introduce an interpretable deep learning model for multivariate time series forecasting that prioritizes both predictive performance and interpretability - key requirements for understanding complex physical phenomena. Our model not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-28 Davor Horvatic , Domjan Baric

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz

Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-09 Laura Alessandretti , Abeer ElBahrawy , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli
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