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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have gained considerable attention in recent years for traffic flow prediction due to their ability to learn spatio-temporal pattern representations through a graph-based message-passing framework. Although GNNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Qianru Zhang , Xinyi Gao , Haixin Wang , Siu-Ming Yiu , Hongzhi Yin

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) have gained attention as models of sparse and event-driven communication of biological neurons, and as such have shown increasing promise for energy-efficient applications in neuromorphic hardware. As with…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Tao Sun , Bojian Yin , Sander Bohte

Deep neural networks offer an alternative paradigm for modeling weather conditions. The ability of neural models to make a prediction in less than a second once the data is available and to do so with very high temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-07 Marcin Andrychowicz , Lasse Espeholt , Di Li , Samier Merchant , Alexander Merose , Fred Zyda , Shreya Agrawal , Nal Kalchbrenner

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft

Ocean dynamics are inherently chaotic, yet existing machine learning ocean models produce only deterministic forecasts. We introduce Njord, a probabilistic data-driven model for ocean forecasting, applicable to both global and regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Daniel Holmberg , Joel Oskarsson , Erik Larsson , Fredrik Lindsten , Teemu Roos

We propose a multiscale spatio-temporal graph neural network (MST-GNN) to predict the future 3D skeleton-based human poses in an action-category-agnostic manner. The core of MST-GNN is a multiscale spatio-temporal graph that explicitly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Maosen Li , Siheng Chen , Yangheng Zhao , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang , Qi Tian

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic has created many challenges that need immediate attention. Various epidemiological and deep learning models have been developed to predict the COVID-19 outbreak, but all have limitations that affect the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Junyi Gao , Rakshith Sharma , Cheng Qian , Lucas M. Glass , Jeffrey Spaeder , Justin Romberg , Jimeng Sun , Cao Xiao

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models often underperform compared to simpler climatology-based precipitation forecasts in northern tropical Africa, even after statistical postprocessing. AI-based forecasting models show promise but have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Athul Rasheeda Satheesh , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink

Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning based weather forecasting models outperform the most successful numerical weather predictions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li , Jie Wu , Bo Lu , Deliang Chen , Shangping Xie , Qingchen Chao , Chensen Lin , Zixin Hu , Yuan Qi

We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

Transfer Learning (TL) in Deep Neural Networks is gaining importance because in most of the applications, the labeling of data is costly and time-consuming. Additionally, TL also provides an effective weight initialization strategy for Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Aqsa Saeed Qureshi , Asifullah Khan

In this paper, we present Pangu-Weather, a deep learning based system for fast and accurate global weather forecast. For this purpose, we establish a data-driven environment by downloading $43$ years of hourly global weather data from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-07 Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Hengheng Zhang , Xin Chen , Xiaotao Gu , Qi Tian

Accurate forecasting of citywide traffic flow has been playing critical role in a variety of spatial-temporal mining applications, such as intelligent traffic control and public risk assessment. While previous work has made significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Xiyue Zhang , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Lianghao Xia , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to skillfully predict tropical precipitation occurrence and amount, calling for alternative approaches. For instance, it has been shown that fairly simple, purely data-driven logistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-09 Eva-Maria Walz , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink , Gregor Köhler , Tilmann Gneiting

Accurate wind speed forecasting is of great importance for many economic, business and management sectors. This paper introduces a new model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for wind speed prediction tasks. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Kevin Trebing , Siamak Mehrkanoon

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Click through rate(CTR) prediction is a core task in advertising systems. The booming e-commerce business in our company, results in a growing number of scenes. Most of them are so-called long-tail scenes, which means that the traffic of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Junyou He , Guibao Mei , Feng Xing , Xiaorui Yang , Yongjun Bao , Weipeng Yan

The El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a dominant mode of interannual climate variability, yet the mechanisms limiting its long-lead predictability remain unclear. Here we develop a physics-guided Deep Echo State Network (DESN) that…