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Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are key sources of subseasonal predictability and major drivers of extreme weather in winter. Accurate and efficient probabilistic forecasting of these events remains a persistent challenge for Numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Ningning Tao , Fei Xie , Baoxiang Pan , Hongyu Wang , Han Huang , Zhongpu Qiu , Ke Gui , Jiali Luo , Xiaosong Chen

The seamless forecast approach of subseasonal to seasonal scale variability has been succeeding in the forecast of multiple meteorological scales in a uniform framework. In this paradigm, it is hypothesized that reduction in initial error…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-12 Lekshmi S , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manpreet Kaur , Susmitha Joseph , R. Phani , A Dey , R. Mandal , AK. Sahai

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in urban computing. The challenge arises as traffic flows often exhibit intrinsic and latent spatio-temporal correlations that cannot be identified by extracting the spatial and temporal patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Song Yang , Jiamou Liu , Kaiqi Zhao

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

When predicting PM2.5 concentrations, it is necessary to consider complex information sources since the concentrations are influenced by various factors within a long period. In this paper, we identify a set of critical domain knowledge for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Shuo Wang , Yanran Li , Jiang Zhang , Qingye Meng , Lingwei Meng , Fei Gao

Landslides are notoriously difficult to predict because numerous spatially and temporally varying factors contribute to slope stability. Artificial neural networks (ANN) have been shown to improve prediction accuracy but are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Khaled Youssef , Kevin Shao , Seulgi Moon , Louis-Serge Bouchard

Spatio-temporal (ST) prediction is an important and widely used technique in data mining and analytics, especially for ST data in urban systems such as transportation data. In practice, the ST data generation is usually influenced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jiahao Ji , Jingyuan Wang , Yu Mou , Cheng Long

Accurate traffic forecasting is a fundamental problem in intelligent transportation systems and learning long-range traffic representations with key information through spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) is a basic assumption of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Qinyao Luo , Silu He , Xing Han , Yuhan Wang , Haifeng Li

Accurate real-time traffic forecast is critical for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and it serves as the cornerstone of various smart mobility applications. Though this research area is dominated by deep learning, recent studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Yihong Tang , Ao Qu , Andy H. F. Chow , William H. K. Lam , S. C. Wong , Wei Ma

Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and other Earth-system components. Recently,…

Prediction based on Irregularly Sampled Time Series (ISTS) is of wide concern in the real-world applications. For more accurate prediction, the methods had better grasp more data characteristics. Different from ordinary time series, ISTS is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Chenxi Sun , Shenda Hong , Moxian Song , Yanxiu Zhou , Yongyue Sun , Derun Cai , Hongyan Li

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have emerged as the dominant model for spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting. Despite their success, they fail to model intrinsic uncertainties within STG data, which cripples their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Haomin Wen , Youfang Lin , Yutong Xia , Huaiyu Wan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Yuxuan Liang

Accurate forecasting of traffic conditions is critical for improving safety, stability, and efficiency of a city transportation system. In reality, it is challenging to produce accurate traffic forecasts due to the complex and dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-06 Tiange Wang , Zijun Zhang , Kwok-Leung Tsui

We present a generic framework for spatio-temporal (ST) data modeling, analysis, and forecasting, with a special focus on data that is sparse in both space and time. Our multi-scaled framework is a seamless coupling of two major components:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Bao Wang , Xiyang Luo , Fangbo Zhang , Baichuan Yuan , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Precise and reliable estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET o ) is an essential for the irrigation and water resources management. ET o is difficult to predict due to its complex processes. This complexity can be solved using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Atilla Özgür , Sevim Seda Yamaç

Demystifying the delay propagation mechanisms among multiple airports is fundamental to precise and interpretable delay prediction, which is crucial during decision-making for all aviation industry stakeholders. The principal challenge lies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Yuankai Wu , Hongyu Yang , Yi Lin , Hong Liu

Weather forecasting is critical for a range of human activities including transportation, agriculture, industry, as well as the safety of the general public. Machine learning models have the potential to transform the complex weather…

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability over the North Atlantic sector, influencing temperature and precipitation across Europe. While the NAO's impact on North Atlantic sea surface temperatures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Elena Provenzano , Guillaume Gastineau , Carlos Mejia , Didier Swingedouw , Sylvie Thiria
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