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Let $(\xi_n)_{n=0}^\infty$ be a nonhomogeneous Markov chain taking values from finite state-space of $\mathbf{X}=\{1,2,\ldots,b\}$. In this paper, we will study the generalized entropy ergodic theorem with almost-everywhere and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Zhongzhi Wang , Weiguo Yang

For a discrete-time Markov chain $\{X(t)\}$ evolving on $\Re^\ell$ with transition kernel $P$, natural, general conditions are developed under which the following are established: 1. The transition kernel $P$ has a purely discrete spectrum,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Adithya Devraj , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

Let $G$ be a finite tree with root $r$ and associate to the internal vertices of $G$ a collection of transition probabilities for a simple nondegenerate Markov chain. Embedd $G$ into a graph $G^\prime$ constructed by gluing finite linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor de la Pena , Henryk Gzyl , Patrick McDonald

We revisit the classical problem of approximating a stochastic differential equation by a discrete-time and discrete-space Markov chain. Our construction iterates Caratheodory's theorem over time to match the moments of the increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Francesco Cosentino , Harald Oberhauser , Alessandro Abate

Density-dependent Markov chains form an important class of continuous-time Markov chains in population dynamics. On any fixed time window [0, T ], when the scale parameter K > 0 is large such chains are well approximated by the solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Adrien Prodhomme

We study fixed-policy evaluation for finite Markov chains that may be reducible and periodic. Classical evaluation methods with gain and bias decomposition are not always diagnostic: the gain records only invariant Ces\`aro averages, while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yang Xu , Vaneet Aggarwal

The extremal behaviour of a Markov chain is typically characterized by its tail chain. For asymptotically dependent Markov chains existing formulations fail to capture the full evolution of the extreme event when the chain moves out of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Kirstin Strokorb , Jonathan A. Tawn , Adam Butler

We consider a vector of $N$ independent binary variables, each with a different probability of success. The distribution of the vector conditional on its sum is known as the conditional Bernoulli distribution. Assuming that $N$ goes to…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-08 Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob , Nianqiao Ju

The switch chain is a well-known Markov chain for sampling directed graphs with a given degree sequence. While not ergodic in general, we show that it is ergodic for regular degree sequences. We then prove that the switch chain is rapidly…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Catherine Greenhill

A virtual Markov chain (VMC) is a sequence $\{X_N\}_{N=0}^{\infty}$ of Markov chains (MCs) coupled together on the same probability space such that $X_N$ has state space $\{0,1,\ldots, N\}$ and such that removing all instances of $N~+~1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Adam Quinn Jaffe

A theory of systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of binary N-step Markov chains is developed. In our model, the conditional probability that the i-th symbol in the chain equals zero (or unity) is a linear function…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

Some, but not all processes of the form $M_t=\exp(-\xi_t)$ for a pure-jump subordinator $\xi$ with Laplace exponent $\Phi$ arise as residual mass processes of particle 1 (tagged particle) in Bertoin's partition-valued exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Jim Pitman , Matthias Winkel

Consider a stochastic process $\{X(t)\}$ on a finite state space $ {\sf X}=\{1,\dots, d\}$. It is conditionally Markov, given a real-valued `input process' $\{\zeta(t)\}$. This is assumed to be small, which is modeled through the scaling,…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Yue Chen , Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

The Marcinkiewicz Strong Law, $\displaystyle\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{1}{n^{\frac1p}}\sum_{k=1}^n (D_{k}- D)=0$ a.s. with $p\in(1,2)$, is studied for outer products $D_k=X_k\overline{X}_k^T$, where $\{X_k\},\{\overline{X}_k\}$ are both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Michael A. Kouritzin , Samira Sadeghi

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail

A sequence of Markov chains is said to exhibit (total variation) cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is abrupt. We consider reversible lazy chains. We prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Riddhipratim Basu , Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

Variable-length Markov chains on finite quivers provide a natural framework for context-dependent stochastic growth under incidence constraints. I study quiver-valued variable-length Markov chains observed through finite boundary windows…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Oleg Kiriukhin

Let \xi_t, t\in[0,T], be a strong Markov process with values in a complete separable metric space (X,\rho) and with transition probability function P_{s,t}(x,dy), 0\le s\le t\le T, x\in X. For any h\in[0,T] and a>0, consider the function…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Martynas Manstavicius

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale
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