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The paper studies the optimal density steering problem for nonlinear continuous-time stochastic systems. To accurately capture nonlinear dynamics in high-uncertainty regions that deviate significantly from a nominal linearization point, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Mattia Mosso , George Rapakoulias , Yue Guan , Panagiotis Tsiotras

The projection filter is one of the approximations to the solution of the optimal filtering problem. It approximates the filtering density by projecting the dynamics of the square-root filtering density onto the tangent space of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Muhammad Fuady Emzir

Diffusion Bridge and Flow Matching have both demonstrated compelling empirical performance in transformation between arbitrary distributions. However, there remains confusion about which approach is generally preferable, and the substantial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kaizhen Zhu , Mokai Pan , Zhechuan Yu , Jingya Wang , Jingyi Yu , Ye Shi

Conventional recursive filtering approaches, designed for quantifying the state of an evolving uncertain dynamical system with intermittent observations, use a sequence of (i) an uncertainty propagation step followed by (ii) a step where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Wonjung Lee , Chris Farmer

We study Diffusion Schr\"odinger Bridge (DSB) models in the context of dynamical astrophysical systems, specifically tackling observational inverse prediction tasks within Giant Molecular Clouds (GMCs) for star formation. We introduce the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-13 Ye Zhu , Duo Xu , Zhiwei Deng , Jonathan C. Tan , Olga Russakovsky

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Recently, a series of papers proposed deep learning-based approaches to sample from target distributions using controlled diffusion processes, being trained only on the unnormalized target densities without access to samples. Building on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

We consider the problem of approximating optimal in the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) sense nonlinear filters in a discrete time setting, exploiting properties of stochastically convergent state process approximations. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

Schr\"{o}dinger bridge is a stochastic optimal control problem to steer a given initial state density to another, subject to controlled diffusion and deadline constraints. A popular method to numerically solve the Schr\"{o}dinger bridge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Alexis M. H. Teter , Yongxin Chen , Abhishek Halder

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EnGMF) is a non-linear filter suited to data assimilation of highly non-Gaussian and non-linear models that has practical utility in the case of a small number of samples, and theoretical convergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Andrey A. Popov , Enrico M. Zucchelli , Renato Zanetti

Ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) methods have become increasingly popular due to their inherent ability to address nonlinear dynamic problems. However, these methods often face a trade-off between analysis accuracy and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Zhilin Li , Zhou Yao , Xianglong Li , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Shanlin Xu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the basis of simple assumptions such as bias, white noise, first…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Carrassi , S. Vannitsem , C. Nicolis

In this paper, we present a new ensemble-based filter method by reconstructing the analysis step of the particle filter through a transport map, which directly transports prior particles to posterior particles. The transport map is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Dengfei Zeng , Lijian Jiang

We deduce the asymptotic error distribution of the Euler method for the nonlinear filtering problem with continuous-time observations. Previous works by several authors have shown that the error structure of the method is characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Teppei Ogihara , Hideyuki Tanaka

Despite the widespread usage of discrete generation Ensemble Kalman particle filtering methodology to solve nonlinear and high dimensional filtering and inverse problems, little is known about their mathematical foundations. As genetic-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Pierre del Moral , Emma Horton

In the community of remote sensing, nonlinear mixing models have recently received particular attention in hyperspectral image processing. In this paper, we present a novel nonlinear spectral unmixing method following the recent multilinear…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Qi Wei , Marcus Chen , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Simon Godsill

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was introduced by Evensen in 1994 [10] as a novel method for data assimilation: state estimation for noisily observed time-dependent problems. Since that time it has had enormous impact in many application…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Schr\"odinger bridges (SBs) provide an elegant framework for modeling the temporal evolution of populations in physical, chemical, or biological systems. Such natural processes are commonly subject to changes in population size over time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Matteo Pariset , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Charlotte Bunne , Andreas Krause , Valentin De Bortoli