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Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

Accurate medium-range precipitation forecasting is crucial for hydrometeorological risk management and disaster mitigation, yet remains challenging for current numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. Traditional ensemble systems such as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Tianyi Xiong , Haonan Chen

This paper presents a fast decorrelated neuro-ensemble with heterogeneous features for large-scale data analytics, where stochastic configuration networks (SCNs) are employed as base learner models and the well-known negative correlation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Dianhui Wang , Caihao Cui

Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that evaluates recent SOTA methods on diverse, realistic, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Florian Seligmann , Philipp Becker , Michael Volpp , Gerhard Neumann

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Machine/deep learning models have been widely adopted for predicting the configuration performance of software systems. However, a crucial yet unaddressed challenge is how to cater for the sparsity inherited from the configuration…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Jingzhi Gong , Tao Chen , Rami Bahsoon

Machine learning models can be used to predict physical quantities like homogenized elasticity stiffness tensors, which must always be symmetric positive definite (SPD) based on conservation arguments. Two datasets of homogenized elasticity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Charles F. Jekel , Kenneth E. Swartz , Daniel A. White , Daniel A. Tortorelli , Seth E. Watts

Machine learning (ML) has often been applied to space weather (SW) problems in recent years. SW originates from solar perturbations and is comprised of the resulting complex variations they cause within the systems between the Sun and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Richard J. Licata , Piyush M. Mehta

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), is widely used in precipitation forecasting, based on complex equations of atmospheric motion requires supercomputers to infer the state of the atmosphere. Due to the complexity of the task and the huge…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-10 Xinyu Xiao , Qiuming Kuang , Shiming Xiang , Junnan Hu , Chunhong Pan

Real-time predictive modelling with desired accuracy is highly expected in industrial artificial intelligence (IAI), where neural networks play a key role. Neural networks in IAI require powerful, high-performance computing devices to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Dianhui Wang , Matthew J. Felicetti

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is a powerful tool for modeling turbulent flow and is commonly used for urban microclimate simulations. However, traditional CFD methods are computationally intensive, requiring substantial hardware…

Non-intrusive speech intelligibility prediction remains challenging due to variability in speakers, noise conditions, and subjective perception. We propose an uncertainty-aware approach that leverages Whisper embeddings in combination with…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Ryandhimas E. Zezario , Dyah A. M. G. Wisnu , Hsin-Min Wang , Yu Tsao

Stochastic Boolean networks, or more generally, stochastic discrete networks, are an important class of computational models for molecular interaction networks. The stochasticity stems from the updating schedule. Standard updating schedules…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 David Murrugarra , Jacob Miller , Alex Mueller

Among applications of deep learning (DL) involving low cost sensors, remote image classification involves a physical channel that separates edge sensors and cloud classifiers. Traditional DL models must be divided between an encoder for the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-31 Siyu Qi , Achintha Wijesinghe , Lahiru D. Chamain , Zhi Ding

Weather forecasting refers to learning evolutionary patterns of some key upper-air and surface variables which is of great significance. Recently, deep learning-based methods have been increasingly applied in the field of weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li

Uncertainty-aware deep learning (DL) models recently gained attention in fault diagnosis as a way to promote the reliable detection of faults when out-of-distribution (OOD) data arise from unseen faults (epistemic uncertainty) or the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Reza Jalayer , Masoud Jalayer , Andrea Mor , Carlotta Orsenigo , Carlo Vercellis

This paper explores the application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDE) to interpret the text generation process of Large Language Models (LLMs) such as GPT-4. Text generation in LLMs is modeled as a stochastic process where each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Yukun Zhang

Deep learning (DL) models, a specialized class of multilayer neural networks, have become central to time-series forecasting in critical domains such as environmental monitoring and the Internet of Things (IoT). Among these, Bidirectional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Salma Albelali , Moataz Ahmed

Accurate long-range weather forecasting remains a major challenge for AI models, both because errors accumulate over autoregressive rollouts and because reanalysis datasets used for training offer a limited sample of the slow modes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Scott A. Martin , Noah Brenowitz , Dale Durran , Michael Pritchard
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