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Deep learning is increasingly being applied in safety-critical domains. For these scenarios it is important to know the level of uncertainty in a model's prediction to ensure appropriate decisions are made by the system. Deep ensembles are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales

Time-series forecasting remains difficult in real-world settings because temporal patterns operate at multiple scales, from broad contextual trends to fast, fine-grained fluctuations that drive critical decisions. Existing neural models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sepideh Koohfar

We propose a plug-and-play framework for speech enhancement and separation that augments predictive methods with a generative speech prior. Our approach, termed Stochastic Interpolant Prior for Speech (SIPS), builds on stochastic…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Julius Richter , Yoshiki Masuyama , Christoph Boeddeker , Takahiro Edo , Gordon Wichern , Jonathan Le Roux

Accurate precipitation forecasting is essential for hydrometeorological risk management, especially for anticipating extreme rainfall that can lead to flash flooding and infrastructure damage. This study introduces a diffusion-based deep…

Surface solar irradiance (SSI) plays a crucial role in tackling climate change - as an abundant, non-fossil energy source, exploited primarily via photovoltaic (PV) energy production. With the growing contribution of SSI to total energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-20 Alberto Carpentieri , Doris Folini , Jussi Leinonen , Angela Meyer

We introduce Mosaic, a probabilistic weather forecasting model that addresses three failure modes of spectral degradation in ML-based weather prediction: spectral damping (statistical), high-frequency aliasing (architectural), and residual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Maksim Zhdanov , Ana Lucic , Max Welling , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are key sources of subseasonal predictability and major drivers of extreme weather in winter. Accurate and efficient probabilistic forecasting of these events remains a persistent challenge for Numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Ningning Tao , Fei Xie , Baoxiang Pan , Hongyu Wang , Han Huang , Zhongpu Qiu , Ke Gui , Jiali Luo , Xiaosong Chen

The increasing focus on predicting renewable energy production aligns with advancements in deep learning (DL). The inherent variability of renewable sources and the complexity of prediction methods require robust approaches, such as DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu Sua , Bahram Alidaee

Time series forecasting in real-world applications requires both high predictive accuracy and interpretable uncertainty quantification. Traditional point prediction methods often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zhen Zhou , Zhirui Wang , Qi Hong , Yunyang Shi , Ziyuan Gu , Zhiyuan Liu

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

Hyperspectral images (HSIs) provide exceptional spatial and spectral resolution of a scene, crucial for various remote sensing applications. However, the high dimensionality, presence of noise and outliers, and the need for precise labels…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Kangning Cui , Ruoning Li , Sam L. Polk , Yinyi Lin , Hongsheng Zhang , James M. Murphy , Robert J. Plemmons , Raymond H. Chan

Distributed Deep Learning (DDL) is essential for large-scale Deep Learning (DL) training. Synchronous Stochastic Gradient Descent (SSGD) 1 is the de facto DDL optimization method. Using a sufficiently large batch size is critical to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Wei Zhang , Mingrui Liu , Yu Feng , Xiaodong Cui , Brian Kingsbury , Yuhai Tu

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for real-world applications such as traffic management and urban computing. Although recent methods have shown improved accuracy, they often fail to account for dynamic deviations between current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Haotian Gao , Zheng Dong , Jiawei Yong , Shintaro Fukushima , Kenjiro Taura , Renhe Jiang

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has recently emerged as a powerful technique for improving image and video generation in Diffusion and Flow Matching models, specifically for enhancing output quality and alignment with prompts. A critical step…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Feng Wang , Zihao Yu

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Weather and climate forecasts are inherently uncertain due to chaotic dynamics, imperfect initial conditions, and incomplete representation of the underlying physical processes. Operational ensemble forecasts aim to represent these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Birgit Kühbacher , Daan Crommelin , Niki Kilbertus

Deep neural networks (DNNs) form the cornerstone of modern AI services, supporting a wide range of applications, including autonomous driving, chatbots, and recommendation systems. As models increase in size and complexity, DNN workloads…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Xiaokai Wang , Shaoyuan Huang , Yuting Li , Xiaofei Wang