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Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

High-frequency trading (HFT) has transformed modern financial markets, making reliable short-term price forecasting models essential. In this study, we present a novel approach to mid-price forecasting using Level 1 limit order book (LOB)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

Time-series data is central to decision-making in financial markets, yet building high-performing, interpretable, and auditable models remains a major challenge. While Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) frameworks streamline model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Yihao Ang , Yifan Bao , Lei Jiang , Jiajie Tao , Anthony K. H. Tung , Lukasz Szpruch , Hao Ni

In this paper we extend the analysis of an agent-based model for adaptive trading, called asynchronous stochastic price pump (ASPP) introduced by Perepelitsa and Timofeyev (2019), to the model with heterogeneous distribution of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-28 Misha Perepelitsa

The novel of coronavirus (COVID-19) has suddenly and abruptly changed the world as we knew at the start of the 3rd decade of the 21st century. Particularly, COVID-19 pandemic has negatively affected financial econometrics and stock markets…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-09 Farnoush Ronaghi , Mohammad Salimibeni , Farnoosh Naderkhani , Arash Mohammadi

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

This work presents, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first generalizable and fully data-driven adaptive framework designed to stabilize deep learning (DL) autoregressive forecasting models over long time horizons, with the goal of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-06 Rodrigo Abadía-Heredia , Manuel Lopez-Martin , Soledad Le Clainche

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

This article introduces a novel hybrid regime identification-forecasting framework designed to enhance multi-asset portfolio construction by integrating asset-specific regime forecasts. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on broad…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Yizhan Shu , Chenyu Yu , John M. Mulvey

This paper proposes an innovative Multi-Modal Transformer framework (MMF-Trans) designed to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the Chinese stock market by integrating multi-source heterogeneous information including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Lumen AI , Tengzhou No. 1 Middle School , Shihao Ji , Zihui Song , Fucheng Zhong , Jisen Jia , Zhaobo Wu , Zheyi Cao , Xu Tianhao

Learning from data streams is among the most vital fields of contemporary data mining. The online analysis of information coming from those potentially unbounded data sources allows for designing reactive up-to-date models capable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Łukasz Korycki , Bartosz Krawczyk

Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

We develop a unified model in which AI adoption in financial markets generates systemic risk through three mutually reinforcing channels: performative prediction, algorithmic herding, and cognitive dependency. Within an extended rational…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen

Distributed intelligence in industrial networks increasingly integrates sensing, communication, and computation across heterogeneous and resource constrained devices. Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative model training in such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Paul Shepherd , Tasos Dagiuklas , Bugra Alkan , Jonathan Rodriguez

Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies. Not surprisingly, this area has attracted…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Peiyuan Liu , Yuxia Zhu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Shu-tao Xia , Dawei Cheng , Changjun Jiang

Tool-Integrated Reasoning (TIR) has significantly enhanced the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet current agents tend to exhibit cognitive offloading, redundantly invoking external tools even for simple tasks. In this paper,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Zhaiyu Fang , Ruipeng Sun

Event cameras have recently been introduced into image semantic segmentation, owing to their high temporal resolution and other advantageous properties. However, existing event-based semantic segmentation methods often fail to fully exploit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Hebei Li , Yansong Peng , Jiahui Yuan , Peixi Wu , Jin Wang , Yueyi Zhang , Xiaoyan Sun

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) is a critical task with broad applications in domains such as meteorology, transportation, and economics. Nevertheless, pervasive missing values caused by sensor failures or human errors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Kai Tang , Ji Zhang , Hua Meng , Minbo Ma , Qi Xiong , Fengmao Lv , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Time series data are valuable but are often inscrutable. Gaining trust in time series classifiers for finance, healthcare, and other critical applications may rely on creating interpretable models. Researchers have previously been forced to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Yuhui Wang , Diane J. Cook

Chaotic time series are notoriously difficult to forecast. Small uncertainties in initial conditions amplify rapidly, while strong nonlinearities and regime dependent variability constrain predictability. Although modern deep learning often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Madhurima Panja , Grace Younes , Tanujit Chakraborty