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Multimodal time series forecasting is crucial in real-world applications, where decisions depend on both numerical data and contextual signals. The core challenge is to effectively combine temporal numerical patterns with the context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Huu Hiep Nguyen , Minh Hoang Nguyen , Dung Nguyen , Hung Le

The \textit{Temporal Fusion Transformer} (TFT), proposed by Lim \textit{et al.}, published in \textit{International Journal of Forecasting} (2021), is a state-of-the-art attention-based deep neural network architecture specifically designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Krishnakanta Barik , Goutam Paul

The significant fluctuations in stock index prices in recent years highlight the critical need for accurate forecasting to guide investment and financial strategies. This study introduces a novel composite forecasting framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Xiaorui Xue , Shaofang Li , Xiaonan Wang

Financial sentiment analysis plays a crucial role in informing investment decisions, assessing market risk, and predicting stock price trends. Existing works in financial sentiment analysis have not considered the impact of stock prices or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Chaithra , Kamesh Kadimisetty , Biju R Mohan

This paper investigates an optimal integration of deep learning with financial models for robust asset price forecasting. Specifically, we developed a hybrid framework combining a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with the Merton-L\'evy…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

Forecasting multivariate time series remains challenging due to complex cross-variable dependencies and the presence of heterogeneous external influences. This paper presents Spectrogram-Enhanced Multimodal Fusion (SEMF), which combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Soyeon Park , Doohee Chung , Charmgil Hong

Time series forecasting under distribution shift remains challenging, as existing deep learning models often rely on local statistical normalization (e.g., mean and variance) that fails to capture global distribution shift. Methods like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yujie Li , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yisong Fu , Tao Sun , Yongjun Xu , Fei Wang

Currently, iTransformer is one of the most popular and effective models for multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Thanks to its inverted framework, iTransformer effectively captures multivariate correlation. However, the inverted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Hongming Tan , Ting Chen , Ruochong Jin , Wai Kin Chan

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

We study the forecasting problem for traffic with dynamic, possibly periodical, and joint spatial-temporal dependency between regions. Given the aggregated inflow and outflow traffic of regions in a city from time slots 0 to t-1, we predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Guanyao Li , Shuhan Zhong , S. -H. Gary Chan , Ruiyuan Li , Chih-Chieh Hung , Wen-Chih Peng

Time-series forecasting in real-world applications such as finance and energy often faces challenges due to limited training data and complex, noisy temporal dynamics. Existing deep forecasting models typically supervise predictions using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Jiacheng You , Jingcheng Yang , Yuhang Xie , Zhongxuan Wu , Xiucheng Li , Feng Li , Pengjie Wang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng , Xinyang Chen

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

The fusion of public sentiment data in the form of text with stock price prediction is a topic of increasing interest within the financial community. However, the research literature seldom explores the application of investor sentiment in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Mufhumudzi Muthivhi , Terence L. van Zyl

Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

Over the past few decades, the hydrology community has witnessed notable advancements in streamflow prediction, particularly with the introduction of cutting-edge machine-learning algorithms. Recurrent neural networks, especially Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Sinan Rasiya Koya , Tirthankar Roy

In the distributed systems landscape, Blockchain has catalyzed the rise of cryptocurrencies, merging enhanced security and decentralization with significant investment opportunities. Despite their potential, current research on…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-11 Yihang Fu , Mingyu Zhou , Luyao Zhang

The volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges for accurate price forecasting. This research proposes a hybrid deep learning and machine learning model that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mehul Gautam

This research systematically develops and evaluates various hybrid modeling approaches by combining traditional econometric models (ARIMA and ARFIMA models) with machine learning and deep learning techniques (SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM models)…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Robert Ślepaczuk

Traditional approaches to financial asset allocation start with returns forecasting followed by an optimization stage that decides the optimal asset weights. Any errors made during the forecasting step reduce the accuracy of the asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-08 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

Multi-modal threat detection faces a fundamental challenge that involves security tools operating in isolation, and this creates streams of network, email, and system data with no natural alignment or correlation. We present Hierarchical…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sisir Doppalapudi