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In recent years excessive monetization of football and professionalism among the players has been argued to have affected the quality of the match in different ways. On the one hand, playing football has become a high-income profession and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Victor Martins Maimone , Taha Yasseri

In the run-up to any major sports tournament, winning probabilities of participants are publicized for engagement and betting purposes. These are generally based on simulating the tournament tens of thousands of times by sampling from…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-21 Ulrik Brandes , Gordana Marmulla , Ivana Smokovic

In this work, we draw attention to a connection between skill-based models of game outcomes and Gaussian process classification models. The Gaussian process perspective enables a) a principled way of dealing with uncertainty and b) rich…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Antonio J. González Ferrer , Matthias Grossglauser

Esports has emerged as a popular genre for players as well as spectators, supporting a global entertainment industry. Esports analytics has evolved to address the requirement for data-driven feedback, and is focused on cyber-athlete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Victoria Hodge , Sam Devlin , Nick Sephton , Florian Block , Anders Drachen , Peter Cowling

We propose a controlled simulation within a competitive sum-zero environment as a proxy for disaggregating components of success. Given a simulation of the Risk board game, we consider (a) Talent to be one of three rule-based strategies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-18 Bernardo Alves Furtado

This paper aims to explore the impact of tournament design on the incentives of the contestants. We develop a simulation framework to quantify the potential gain and loss from attacking based on changes in the probability of reaching the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-17 László Csató

We present an extensive statistical analysis of the results of all sports competitions in five major sports leagues in England and the United States. We characterize the parity among teams by the variance in the winning fraction from…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , F. Vazquez , S. Redner

A tournament is a method to decide the winner in a competition, and describes the overall sequence in which matches between the players are held. While deciding a worthy winner is the primary goal of a tournament, a close second is to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Umang Bhaskar , Juhi Chaudhary , Palash Dey

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

With the vast amount of data collected on football and the growth of computing abilities, many games involving decision choices can be optimized. The underlying rule is the maximization of an expected utility of outcomes and the law of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Preston Biro , Stephen G. Walker

The largely dominant meritocratic paradigm of highly competitive Western cultures is rooted on the belief that success is due mainly, if not exclusively, to personal qualities such as talent, intelligence, skills, efforts or risk taking.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-13 A. Pluchino. A. E. Biondo , A. Rapisarda

In timeline-based planning, domains are described as sets of independent, but interacting, components, whose behaviour over time (the set of timelines) is governed by a set of temporal constraints. A distinguishing feature of timeline-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Nicola Gigante , Angelo Montanari , Marta Cialdea Mayer , Andrea Orlandini , Mark Reynolds

We study the problem of agent selection in causal strategic learning under multiple decision makers and address two key challenges that come with it. Firstly, while much of prior work focuses on studying a fixed pool of agents that remains…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Kiet Q. H. Vo , Muneeb Aadil , Siu Lun Chau , Krikamol Muandet

Scrum teams are at the heart of the Scrum framework. Nevertheless, an integrated and systemic theory that can explain what makes some Scrum teams more effective than others is still missing. To address this gap, we performed a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Christiaan Verwijs , Daniel Russo

Rating systems play a crucial role in evaluating player skill across competitive environments. The Elo rating system, originally designed for deterministic and information-complete games such as chess, has been widely adopted and modified…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Avirup Chakraborty , Shirsa Maitra , Tathagata Banerjee , Diganta Mukherjee , Tridib Mukherjee

Technology has had an unquestionable impact on the way people watch sports. Along with this technological evolution has come a higher standard to ensure a good viewing experience for the casual sports fan. It can be argued that the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-12 Gagan Sidhu

Task allocation in heterogeneous multi-agent teams often requires reasoning about multi-dimensional agent traits (i.e., capabilities) and the demands placed on them by tasks. However, existing methods tend to ignore the fact that not all…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Vivek Mallampati , Harish Ravichandar

A match played in a sports tournament can be called stakeless if at least one team is indifferent to its outcome because it already has qualified or has been eliminated. Such a game threatens fairness since teams may not exert full effort…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 László Csató , András Gyimesi

We consider (random) strategic interactions in a large population consisting of a variety of players. A rational player chooses actions that maximize certain utility functions, while a behavioral player chooses actions based on preferences…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Raghupati Vyas , Kousik Das , Veeraruna Kavitha , Souvik Roy

Today's competition between the professional eSports teams is so strong that in-depth analysis of players' performance literally crucial for creating a powerful team. There are two main approaches to such an estimation: obtaining features…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Anton Smerdov , Evgeny Burnaev , Andrey Somov