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We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Jinghui Chen , Quanquan Gu

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

Recently, many machine learning and statistical models such as non-linear regressions, the Single Index, Multi-index, Varying Coefficient Index Models and Two-layer Neural Networks can be reduced to or be seen as a special case of a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Di Wang , Xiangyu Guo , Chaowen Guan , Shi Li , Jinhui Xu

High-breakdown-point estimators of multivariate location and shape matrices, such as the MM-estimator with smooth hard rejection and the Rocke S-estimator, are generally designed to have high efficiency at the Gaussian distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Justin A. Fishbone , Lamine Mili

The measure of portfolio risk is an important input of the Markowitz framework. In this study, we explored various methods to obtain a robust covariance estimators that are less susceptible to financial data noise. We evaluated the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Qiqin Zhou

We introduce the \textsc{Tailed-Uniform} proposal distribution for generating training simulations in simulation-based inference. Instead of sampling parameters uniformly within bounded regions, we extend the distribution beyond prior…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-27 Chaipat Tirapongprasert , Matthew Ho

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

Motivated by the prominence of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a measure for tail risk in settings affected by uncertainty, we develop a new formula for approximating CVaR based optimization objectives and their gradients from limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

This paper introduces the partial Gini covariance, a novel dependence measure that addresses the challenges of high-dimensional inference with heavy-tailed errors, often encountered in fields like finance, insurance, climate, and biology.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Yilin Zhang , Songshan Yang , Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

We study the problem of predicting as well as the best linear predictor in a bounded Euclidean ball with respect to the squared loss. When only boundedness of the data generating distribution is assumed, we establish that the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

The non-parametric estimation of covariance lies at the heart of functional data analysis, whether for curve or surface-valued data. The case of a two-dimensional domain poses both statistical and computational challenges, which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Tomas Masak , Soham Sarkar , Victor M. Panaretos

Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 John H. J. Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Nonsingular estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an important step in many statistical procedures like classification, clustering, variable selection an future extraction. After a review of the essential background…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Deniz Akdemir

We revisit heavy-tailed corrupted least-squares linear regression assuming to have a corrupted $n$-sized label-feature sample of at most $\epsilon n$ arbitrary outliers. We wish to estimate a $p$-dimensional parameter $b^*$ given such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Roberto I. Oliveira , Zoraida F. Rico , Philip Thompson

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour

In this paper, we develop connections between two seemingly disparate, but central, models in robust statistics: Huber's epsilon-contamination model and the heavy-tailed noise model. We provide conditions under which this connection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-03 Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

We study the fundamental problem of high-dimensional mean estimation in a robust model where a constant fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge