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Instruments can be used to identify causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding, under the famous relevance and exogeneity (unconfoundedness and exclusion) assumptions. As exogeneity is difficult to justify and to some degree…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-29 Christian Tien

Inference in linear panel data models is complicated by the presence of fixed effects when (some of) the regressors are not strictly exogenous. Under asymptotics where the number of cross-sectional observations and time periods grow at the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

Panel data, in which multiple units are repeatedly observed over time, arise throughout science and engineering. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in such settings is challenging because conformal prediction, while distribution-free and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Daohong Tu , Kay Giesecke

Sequential recommendation aims to choose the most suitable items for a user at a specific timestamp given historical behaviors. Existing methods usually model the user behavior sequence based on the transition-based methods like Markov…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Fengzhu Wu , Sili Zhang , Hao Gu , Yuexing Hao , Yuguang

We tackle the problem of bias mitigation of algorithmic decisions in a setting where both the output of the algorithm and the sensitive variable are continuous. Most of prior work deals with discrete sensitive variables, meaning that the…

This paper proposes a new semi-parametric identification and estimation approach to multinomial choice models in a panel data setting with individual fixed effects. Our approach is based on cyclic monotonicity, which is a defining feature…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum , Wei Song

In recent years networks have gained unprecedented attention in studying a broad range of topics, among them in complex systems research. In particular, multi-agent systems have seen an increased recognition of the importance of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 László Gulyás , Elenna R. Dugundji

We introduce a general class of autoregressive models for studying the dynamic of multivariate binary time series with stationary exogenous covariates. Using a high-level set of assumptions, we show that existence of a stationary path for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Guillaume Franchi , Lionel Truquet

Beta regression models provide an adequate approach for modeling continuous outcomes limited to the interval (0,1). This paper deals with an extension of beta regression models that allow for explanatory variables to be measured with error.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-11 Jalmar M. F. Carrasco , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

Multiple regression has been the go-to method for data analysis for generations of scholars due to its transparency, interpretability, and desirable theoretical properties. However, the method's simplicity precludes the discovery of complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Marc Ratkovic , Dustin Tingley

Recently, significant attention has been dedicated to the models of opinion dynamics in which opinions are described by real numbers, and agents update their opinions synchronously by averaging their neighbors' opinions. The neighbors of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Anahita Mirtabatabaei , Francesco Bullo

We establish oracle inequalities for a version of the Lasso in high-dimensional fixed effects dynamic panel data models. The inequalities are valid for the coefficients of the dynamic and exogenous regressors. Separate oracle inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-05 Anders Bredahl Kock , Haihan Tang

In many complex applications, data heterogeneity and homogeneity exist simultaneously. Ignoring either one will result in incorrect statistical inference. In addition, coping with complex data that are non-Euclidean becomes more common. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Zixuan Han , Tao Li , Jinhong You

With the violation of the assumption of homoskedasticity, least squares estimators of the variance become inefficient and statistical inference conducted with invalid standard errors leads to misleading rejection rates. Despite a vast…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-01 Annalivia Polselli

Recommender Systems have proliferated as general-purpose approaches to model a wide variety of consumer interaction data. Specific instances make use of signals ranging from user feedback, item relationships, geographic locality, social…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Wang-Cheng Kang , Mengting Wan , Julian McAuley

We develop a dynamic model of discrete choice that incorporates peer effects into random consideration sets. We characterize the equilibrium behavior and study the empirical content of the model. In our setup, changes in the choices of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-19 Nail Kashaev , Natalia Lazzati

Optogenetics is a powerful neuroscience technique for studying how neural circuit manipulation affects behavior. Standard analysis conventions discard information and severely limit the scope of the causal questions that can be probed. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-02 Gabriel Loewinger , Alexander W. Levis , Francisco Pereira

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

Network regression models, where the outcome comprises the valued edge in a network and the predictors are actor or dyad-level covariates, are used extensively in the social and biological sciences. Valid inference relies on accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Mengjie Pan , Tyler H. McCormick , Bailey K. Fosdick

This paper considers endogenous selection models, in particular nonparametric ones. Estimating the unconditional law of the outcomes is possible when one uses instrumental variables. Using a selection equation which is additively separable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-07 Eric Gautier
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