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The Rashomon Effect describes the following phenomenon: for a given dataset there may exist many models with equally good performance but with different solution strategies. The Rashomon Effect has implications for Explainable Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Sebastian Müller , Vanessa Toborek , Katharina Beckh , Matthias Jakobs , Christian Bauckhage , Pascal Welke

The Rashomon effect -- the existence of multiple, distinct models that achieve nearly equivalent predictive performance -- has emerged as a fundamental phenomenon in modern machine learning and statistics. In this paper, we explore the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Harsh Parikh

The Rashomon effect describes the observation that in machine learning (ML) multiple models often achieve similar predictive performance while explaining the underlying relationships in different ways. This observation holds even for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Julian Rosenberger , Philipp Schröppel , Sven Kruschel , Mathias Kraus , Patrick Zschech , Maximilian Förster

Creating models from past observations and ensuring their effectiveness on new data is the essence of machine learning. However, selecting models that generalize well remains a challenging task. Related to this topic, the Rashomon Effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

This study explores how the Rashomon effect influences variable importance in the context of student demographics used for academic outcomes prediction. Our research follows the way machine learning algorithms are employed in Educational…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Jakub Kuzilek , Mustafa Çavuş

The Rashomon Effect, coined by Leo Breiman, describes the phenomenon that there exist many equally good predictive models for the same dataset. This phenomenon happens for many real datasets and when it does, it sparks both magic and…

Algorithmic risk assessments are used to inform decisions in a wide variety of high-stakes settings. Often multiple predictive models deliver similar overall performance but differ markedly in their predictions for individual cases, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Amanda Coston , Ashesh Rambachan , Alexandra Chouldechova

Predictive multiplicity occurs when classification models with statistically indistinguishable performances assign conflicting predictions to individual samples. When used for decision-making in applications of consequence (e.g., lending,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Hsiang Hsu , Flavio du Pin Calmon

The Rashomon effect presents a significant challenge in model selection. It occurs when multiple models achieve similar performance on a dataset but produce different predictions, resulting in predictive multiplicity. This is especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Mustafa Cavus , Przemyslaw Biecek

Modern neural networks rarely have a single way to be right. For many tasks, multiple models can achieve identical performance while relying on different features or reasoning patterns, a property known as the Rashomon Effect. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Shihan Feng , Cheng Zhang , Michael Xi , Ethan Hsu , Lesia Semenova , Chudi Zhong

Here, I provide some reflections on Prof. Leo Breiman's "The Two Cultures" paper. I focus specifically on the phenomenon that Breiman dubbed the "Rashomon Effect", describing the situation in which there are many models that satisfy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-07 Alexander D'Amour

The Rashomon set is the set of models that perform approximately equally well on a given dataset, and the Rashomon ratio is the fraction of all models in a given hypothesis space that are in the Rashomon set. Rashomon ratios are often large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Lesia Semenova , Harry Chen , Ronald Parr , Cynthia Rudin

Different prediction models might perform equally well (Rashomon set) in the same task, but offer conflicting interpretations and conclusions about the data. The Rashomon effect in the context of Explainable AI (XAI) has been recognized as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Sichao Li , Amanda S. Barnard , Quanling Deng

The machine learning modeling process conventionally culminates in selecting a single model that maximizes a selected performance metric. However, this approach leads to abandoning a more profound analysis of slightly inferior models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Katarzyna Kobylińska , Mateusz Krzyziński , Rafał Machowicz , Mariusz Adamek , Przemysław Biecek

When selecting a model from a set of equally performant models, how much unfairness can you really reduce? Is it important to be intentional about fairness when choosing among this set, or is arbitrarily choosing among the set of ''good''…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Gordon Dai , Pavan Ravishankar , Rachel Yuan , Daniel B. Neill , Emily Black

Predictive models may generate biased predictions when classifying imbalanced datasets. This happens when the model favors the majority class, leading to low performance in accurately predicting the minority class. To address this issue,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

The existence of multiple, equally accurate models for a given predictive task leads to predictive multiplicity, where a ``Rashomon set'' of models achieve similar accuracy but diverges in their individual predictions. This inconsistency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Parian Haghighat , Hadis Anahideh , Cynthia Rudin

In any given machine learning problem, there may be many models that could explain the data almost equally well. However, most learning algorithms return only one of these models, leaving practitioners with no practical way to explore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Rui Xin , Chudi Zhong , Zhi Chen , Takuya Takagi , Margo Seltzer , Cynthia Rudin

Predictive multiplicity refers to the phenomenon in which classification tasks may admit multiple competing models that achieve almost-equally-optimal performance, yet generate conflicting outputs for individual samples. This presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Hsiang Hsu , Guihong Li , Shaohan Hu , Chun-Fu , Chen

Many sequential decision-making problems that are currently automated, such as those in manufacturing or recommender systems, operate in an environment where there is either little uncertainty, or zero risk of catastrophe. As companies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Marc Rigter
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