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Forecasting future events is a fundamental capability for general-purpose systems that plan or act across different levels of abstraction. Yet, evaluating whether a forecast is "correct" remains challenging due to the inherent uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Jacob C Walker , Pedro Vélez , Luisa Polania Cabrera , Guangyao Zhou , Sayna Ebrahimi , Rishabh Kabra , Carl Doersch , Maks Ovsjanikov , João Carreira , Shiry Ginosar

Predicting future motion trajectories is a critical capability across domains such as robotics, autonomous systems, and human activity forecasting, enabling safer and more intelligent decision-making. This paper proposes a novel, efficient,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Zesen Zhong , Duomin Zhang , Yijia Li

AI methods referred to as interpretable are often discredited as inaccurate by supporters of the existence of a trade-off between interpretability and accuracy. In many problem contexts however this trade-off does not hold. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Mobyen Uddin Ahmed , Shaibal Barua , Shahina Begum , Mir Riyanul Islam , Rosina O Weber

This paper is a submission for the Weather4Cast~2025 complementary Pollution Task and presents an efficient framework for 6-hour lead-time nowcasting of PM$_1$, PM$_{2.5}$, and PM$_{10}$ across the Indian subcontinent and surrounding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ansh Kushwaha , Kaushik Gopalan

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global climate change urges accurate weather prediction. Recently, great advances have been made by the \textbf{end-to-end methods}, thanks to deep learning techniques, but they face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Shaohan Li , Hao Yang , Min Chen , Xiaolin Qin

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

This paper provides a preliminary study for an efficient learning algorithm by reasoning the error from first principle physics to generate learning signals in near real time. Motivated by iterative learning control (ILC), this learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-12 Minghui Zheng , Zhu Chen , Xiao Liang

The ionosphere is a critical component of near-Earth space, shaping GNSS accuracy, high-frequency communications, and aviation operations. For these reasons, accurate forecasting and modeling of ionospheric variability has become…

Detecting and analyzing complex patterns in multivariate time-series data is crucial for decision-making in urban and environmental system operations. However, challenges arise from the high dimensionality, intricate complexity, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haowen Xu , Ali Boyaci , Jianming Lian , Aaron Wilson

We describe the development of a system for an automated, iterative, real-time classification of transient events discovered in synoptic sky surveys. The system under development incorporates a number of Machine Learning techniques, mostly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-24 S. G. Djorgovski , C. Donalek , A. Mahabal , B. Moghaddam , M. Turmon , M. Graham , A. Drake , N. Sharma , Y. Chen

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…

The integration of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs) is increasingly central to the development of intelligent autonomous systems for applications such as search and rescue, environmental monitoring, and…

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Predicting if passengers in a connecting flight will lose their connection is paramount for airline profitability. We present novel machine learning-based decision support models for the different stages of connection flight management,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Marta Guimaraes , Claudia Soares , Rodrigo Ventura

Recent applications of machine learning, in particular deep learning, motivate the need to address the generalizability of the statistical inference approaches in physical sciences. In this letter, we introduce a modular physics guided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Burak Aksoylu , Adil Rasheed , Trond Kvamsdal

Urban transportation systems face increasing resilience challenges from extreme weather events, but current assessment methods rely on surface-level recovery indicators that miss hidden structural damage. Existing approaches cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Xuhui Lin , Qiuchen Lu

Accurate ultra-short-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) ramp events is essential for maintaining grid stability in solar-integrated power systems, particularly under rapidly changing cloud conditions. This paper presents a generative…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-06 Siyuan Wang , Fengqi You

Traditionally, deriving aerodynamic parameters for an airfoil via Computational Fluid Dynamics requires significant time and effort. However, recent approaches employ neural networks to replace this process, it still grapples with…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-25 Zemin Cai , Zhengyuan Fan , Tianshu Liu
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