Related papers: Rao-Blackwellized e-variables
An analyst is tasked with producing a statistical study. The analyst is not monitored and is able to manipulate the study. He can receive payments contingent on his report and trusted data collected from an independent source, modeled as a…
In computational advertising, a challenging problem is how to recommend the bid for advertisers to achieve the best return on investment (ROI) given budget constraint. This paper presents a bid recommendation scenario that discovers the…
The Karhunen-Lo\`eve Expansion (KLE) of a stochastic process is a well understood eigenfunction expansion used widely in time series analysis, stochastic PDEs, and signal processing. Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions have also been proven to…
Benkeser et al. demonstrate how adjustment for baseline covariates in randomized trials can meaningfully improve precision for a variety of outcome types. Their findings build on a long history, starting in 1932 with R.A. Fisher and…
We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…
We consider the problem of inference for parameters selected to report only after some algorithm, the canonical example being inference for model parameters after a model selection procedure. The conditional correction for selection…
In this paper, we derive the asymptotic Cram\'er-Rao lower bound for the continuous-time output error model structure and provide an analysis of the statistical efficiency of the Simplified Refined Instrumental Variable method for…
Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables $X$, where $X$ can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the "Fixed-$X$"…
The paper presents a new sampling methodology for Bayesian networks that samples only a subset of variables and applies exact inference to the rest. Cutset sampling is a network structure-exploiting application of the Rao-Blackwellisation…
Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) often adjust for baseline covariates in order to increase power. This technical note provides a short derivation of a simple rule of thumb for approximating the ratio of the power of an adjusted analysis…
Background: The E-value has become widely used for assessing robustness to unmeasured confounding in observational studies, but the original framework was developed for single time-point exposure-outcome settings. This study extends the…
This paper proposes a new sharpened version of the Jensen's inequality. The proposed new bound is simple and insightful, is broadly applicable by imposing minimum assumptions, and provides fairly accurate result in spite of its simple form.…
Simplicia-simplicial regression concerns statistical modeling scenarios in which both the predictors and the responses are vectors constrained to lie on the simplex. \cite{fiksel2022} introduced a transformation-free linear regression…
We study multi-objective reinforcement learning (RL) where an agent's reward is represented as a vector. In settings where an agent competes against opponents, its performance is measured by the distance of its average return vector to a…
We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…
If uncorrelated random variables have a common expected value and decreasing variances then the variance of a sample mean is decreasing with the number of observations. Unfortunately, this natural and desirable Variance Reduction Property…
Nonparametric covariate adjustment is considered for log-rank type tests of treatment effect with right-censored time-to-event data from clinical trials applying covariate-adaptive randomization. Our proposed covariate-adjusted log-rank…
Empowered by expressive function approximators such as neural networks, deep reinforcement learning (DRL) achieves tremendous empirical successes. However, learning expressive function approximators requires collecting a large dataset…
Existing recommendation algorithms mostly focus on optimizing traditional recommendation measures, such as the accuracy of rating prediction in terms of RMSE or the quality of top-$k$ recommendation lists in terms of precision, recall, MAP,…
Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often include covariates in their specifications to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more…