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The past few centuries have witnessed a dramatic growth in scientific and technological knowledge. However, the nature of that growth - whether exponential or otherwise - remains controversial, perhaps partly due to the lack of quantitative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-16 Huquan Kang , Luoyi Fu , Russell J. Funk , Xinbing Wang , Jiaxin Ding , Shiyu Liang , Jianghao Wang , Lei Zhou , Chenghu Zhou

Most models that try to explain economic growth indicate exponential growth paths. In recent years, however, a lively discussion has emerged considering the validity of this notion. In the empirical literature dealing with drivers of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Steffen Lange , Peter Pütz , Thomas Kopp

I explore the concept of growth being rooted in the recombination of existing technology as an explanation for the remarkable growth witnessed during the Industrial Revolution as it was recently proposed by Koppl et al.(2023). I adapt their…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-01 W. Benedikt Schmal

The accumulation of knowledge required to produce economic value is a process that often relates to nations economic growth. Such a relationship, however, is misleading when the proxy of such accumulation is the average years of education.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-19 Henry Laverde , Juan C. Correa , Klaus Jaffe

New ideas are often thought to arise from recombining existing knowledge. Yet despite rapid publication growth - and expanding opportunities for recombination - scientific breakthroughs remain rare. This gap between productivity and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Linzhuo Li , Yiling Lin , Lingfei Wu

The production of goods we buy on a daily basis accounts for a large portion of greenhouse gas emissions. Although consumers have the power to influence industries' behavior through their demand, making sustainable purchases is challenging.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Florian Bemmann , Heinrich Hussmann

Economic growth and the growth of human population in the past 2,000,000 years are extensively examined. Data are found to be in a clear contradiction of the currently accepted explanations of the mechanism of growth, which revolve around…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Ron W. Nielsen

Discursive knowledge emerges as codification in flows of communication. The flows of communication are constrained and enabled by networks of communications as their historical manifestations at each moment of time. New publications modify…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2009-11-09 Diana Lucio-Arias , Loet Leydesdorff

This paper introduces a framework to study innovation in a strategic setting, in which innovators allocate their resources between exploration and exploitation in continuous time. Exploration creates public knowledge, while exploitation…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-14 Shangen Li

We analyze strategic communication when advice is generated by a reinforcement-learning algorithm rather than by a fully rational sender. Building on the cheap-talk framework of Crawford and Sobel (1982), an advisor adapts its messages…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-13 Emilio Calvano , Clemens Possnig , Juha Tolvanen

This paper summarizes efforts to computationally model two transitions in the evolution of human creativity: its origins about two million years ago, and the 'big bang' of creativity about 50,000 years ago. Using a computational model of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Liane Gabora , Steve DiPaola

This contribution examines the current controversy over research productivity. There are two sides in this controversy. Using extensive data from several industries and areas of research, one side argues that research productivity is…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-03 Gennady Shkliarevsky

We conduct a field experiment on a movie-recommendation platform to investigate whether and how online recommendations influence consumption choices. Using a within-subjects design, our experiment measures the causal effect of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-13 Guy Aridor , Duarte Goncalves , Daniel Kluver , Ruoyan Kong , Joseph Konstan

It has been shown that the long term evolution of the Gross Product of the World after World War II can be well portrayed by the exponential function with the crossover at the year 1973, cinsiding with the Oil Crisis onset. For the the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Rzoska Agata Angelika

Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Bela Nagy , J. Doyne Farmer , Quan M. Bui , Jessika E. Trancik

The Hicks induced innovation hypothesis states that a price increase of a production factor is a spur to invention. We propose an alternative hypothesis restating that a spur to invention require not only an increase of one factor but also…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-29 Tomáš Evan , Vladimír Holý

We study macroeconomic fluctuations in the United Kingdom over seven centuries (1271--2022) using a time-varying VAR with stochastic volatility. We identify business cycle shocks as innovations explaining the largest share of future output…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-20 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Haroon Mumtaz , Gabor Pinter

The empirical and theoretical justification of Gartner hype curves is a very relevant open question in the field of Technological Life Cycle analysis. The scope of the present paper is to introduce a simple model describing the growth of…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2014-11-03 Marco Campani , Ruggero Vaglio

Indirect reciprocity is a mechanism that explains large-scale cooperation in human societies. In indirect reciprocity, an individual chooses whether or not to cooperate with another based on reputation information, and others evaluate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-20 Yuma Fujimoto , Hisashi Ohtsuki

The state of economic theory and accumulated facts from the different branches of the economic science require to analyze the concept of the description of economy systems. The economic reality generates the problems the solution of that is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-01 N. S. Gonchar
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