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Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for causal inference and play a pivotal role in modern evidence-based medicine. However, the sample sizes they use are often too limited to draw significant causal conclusions for subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-26 Xi Lin , Jens Magelund Tarp , Robin J. Evans

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao

For analysis of a high-dimensional dataset, a common approach is to test a null hypothesis of statistical independence on all variable pairs using a non-parametric measure of dependence. However, because this approach attempts to identify…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Yakir A. Reshef , David N. Reshef , Pardis C. Sabeti , Michael M. Mitzenmacher

This paper investigates robust versions of the general empirical risk minimization algorithm, one of the core techniques underlying modern statistical methods. Success of the empirical risk minimization is based on the fact that for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stanislav Minsker , Timothée Mathieu

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

Randomized controlled trials generate experimental variation that can credibly identify causal effects, but often suffer from limited scale, while observational datasets are large, but often violate desired identification assumptions. To…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-27 George Z. Gui

Bayes factors for composite hypotheses have difficulty in encoding vague prior knowledge, as improper priors cannot be used and objective priors may be subjectively unreasonable. To address these issues I revisit the posterior Bayes factor,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Frank Dudbridge

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

In this paper we apply divergence measures to empirical likelihood applied to logistic regression models. We define a family of empirical test statistics based on divergence measures, called empirical phi-divergence test statistics,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-06 A. Felipe , P. Garcia-Segador , N. Martin , P. Miranda , L. Pardo

Semisupervised methods inevitably invoke some assumption that links the marginal distribution of the features to the regression function of the label. Most commonly, the cluster or manifold assumptions are used which imply that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-02 Martin Azizyan , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

The empirical likelihood inference is extended to a class of semiparametric models for stationary, weakly dependent series. A partially linear single-index regression is used for the conditional mean of the series given its past, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Matthieu Marbac , Valentin Patilea

Many statistical estimands of interest (e.g., in regression or causality) are functions of the joint distribution of multiple random variables. But in some applications, data is not available that measures all random variables on each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yicong Jiang , Lucas Janson

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a powerful framework for enhancing statistical estimates by combining limited gold-standard data with machine learning (ML) predictions. While prior work has demonstrated PPI's benefits for individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Sida Li , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Given an imperfect predictor, we exploit additional features at test time to improve the predictions made, without retraining and without knowledge of the prediction function. This scenario arises if training labels or data are proprietary,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Kwang In Kim , James Tompkin

This paper develops a general methodology to conduct statistical inference for observations indexed by multiple sets of entities. We propose a novel multiway empirical likelihood statistic that converges to a chi-square distribution under…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Harold D Chiang , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

Empirical Bayes is a versatile approach to `learn from a lot' in two ways: first, from a large number of variables and second, from a potentially large amount of prior information, e.g. stored in public repositories. We review applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-19 Mark A. van de Wiel , Dennis E. te Beest , Magnus Münch

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb