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In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

Nonlinear model predictive control has become a popular approach to deal with highly nonlinear and unsteady state systems, the performance of which can however deteriorate due to unaccounted uncertainties. Model predictive control is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Eric Bradford , Lars Imsland

Estimating the statistics of the state of a dynamical system, from partial and noisy observations, is both mathematically challenging and finds wide application. Furthermore, the applications are of great societal importance, including…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

Optimal decision-making under partial observability requires reasoning about the uncertainty of the environment's hidden state. However, most reinforcement learning architectures handle partial observability with sequence models that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Carlos E. Luis , Alessandro G. Bottero , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

We consider initial value problems of nonlinear dynamical systems, which include physical parameters. A quantity of interest depending on the solution is observed. A discretisation yields the trajectories of the quantity of interest in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Roland Pulch , Maha Youssef

The unscented Kalman filter is an algorithm capable of handling nonlinear scenarios. Uncertainty in process noise covariance may decrease the filter estimation performance or even lead to its divergence. Therefore, it is important to adjust…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

We analyze the Ensemble and Polynomial Chaos Kalman filters applied to nonlinear stationary Bayesian inverse problems. In a sequential data assimilation setting such stationary problems arise in each step of either filter. We give a new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Oliver G. Ernst , Björn Sprungk , Hans-Jörg Starkloff

The problem of incorporating information from observations received serially in time is widespread in the field of uncertainty quantification. Within a probabilistic framework, such problems can be addressed using standard filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Chatchuea Kimchaiwong , Jeremie Houssineau , Adam M. Johansen

The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Michael C. Burkhart , David M. Brandman , Carlos E. Vargas-Irwin , Matthew T. Harrison

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Simultaneous state and parameter estimation arises from various applicational areas but presents a major computational challenge. Most available Markov chain or sequential Monte Carlo techniques are applicable to relatively low dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Angwenyi David , Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

Semiparametric forecasting and filtering are introduced as a method of addressing model errors arising from unresolved physical phenomena. While traditional parametric models are able to learn high-dimensional systems from small data sets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-17 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Kalman filter is a best linear unbiased state estimator. It is also comprehensible from the point view of the Bayesian estimation. However, this note gives a detailed derivation of Kalman filter from the mutual information perspective for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Yarong Luo , Jianlang Hu , Chi Guo

The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Holden Lee , Cyril Zhang

The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Xiangjun Wang

In this paper, we present an optimal filter for linear time-varying continuous-time stochastic systems that simultaneously estimates the states and unknown inputs in an unbiased minimum-variance sense. We first show that the unknown inputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

This article aims at discovering the unknown variables in the system through data analysis. The main idea is to use the time of data collection as a surrogate variable and try to identify the unknown variables by modeling gradual and sudden…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 V. Roshan Joseph , William E. Lewis , Henry S. Yuchi , Kathryn A. Maupin

Uncertain parameters of state-space models have always been a considerable problem. Consider Kalman filter (CKF) and desensitized Kalman filter (DKF) are two methods to solve this problem. Based on the sensitivity matrix respected to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Taishan Lou

We consider two nonlinear state estimation problems in a setting where an extended Kalman filter receives measurements from two sets of sensors via two channels (2C). In the stochastic-2C problem, the channels drop measurements…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Vicu-Mihalis Maer , Zsofia Lendek , Stefan Pirje , Domagoj Tolic , Antun Djuras , Vicko Prkacin , Ivana Palunko , Lucian Busoniu