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This work is concerned with model reduction of stochastic differential equations and builds on the idea of replacing drift and noise coefficients of preselected relevant, e.g. slow variables by their conditional expectations. We extend…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Carsten Hartmann , Lara Neureither , Upanshu Sharma

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

Operator fractional Brownian motion (OFBM) is the natural vector-valued extension of the univariate fractional Brownian motion. Instead of a scalar parameter, the law of an OFBM scales according to a Hurst matrix that affects every…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier

This article establishes cutoff thermalization (also known as the cutoff phenomenon) for a class of generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck systems $(X^\varepsilon_t(x))_{t\geqslant 0}$ with $\varepsilon$-small additive L\'evy noise and initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Michael A. Högele , Juan Carlos Pardo

This paper deals with a Skorokhod's integral based least squares type estimator $\widehat\theta_N$ of the drift parameter $\theta_0$ computed from $N\in\mathbb N^*$ (possibly dependent) copies $X^1,\dots,X^N$ of the solution $X$ of $dX_t…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Nicolas Marie

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in $n$ dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, exactly $k$ of the coordinate processes get a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Philip A. Ernst , Hongwei Mei , Goran Peskir

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-07 Pece Trajanovski , Petar Jolakoski , Kiril Zelenkovski , Alexander Iomin , Ljupco Kocarev , Trifce Sandev

We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

We develop a generalization of unobserved components models that allows for a wide range of long-run dynamics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process. The model does not require stationarity and can be cast…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-22 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

We consider a Hamiltonian lattice field model with two conserved quantities, energy and volume, perturbed by stochastic noise preserving the two previous quantities. It is known that this model displays anomalous diffusion of energy of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Cédric Bernardin , Patricia Gonçalves , Milton Jara , Marielle Simon

This paper presents a generic motion model to capture mobile robots' dynamic behaviors (translation and rotation). The model is based on statistical models driven by white random processes and is formulated into a full state estimation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Wei Xu , Dongjiao He , Yixi Cai , Fu Zhang

In this article, we present the least squares estimator for the drift parameter in a linear regression model driven by the increment of a fractional Brownian motion sampled at random times. For two different random times, Jittered and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Lisandro Fermín , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia

We study the statistical inference problem for a complex $\alpha$-fractional Brownian bridge process $Z$ defined by the stochastic differential equation \[ \mathrm{d}Z_t = -\alpha \frac{Z_t}{T - t} \mathrm{d}t + \mathrm{d}\zeta_t, \quad t…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Yong Chen , Lin Fang , Ying Li , Hongjuan Zhou

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

This paper introduces a general and new formalism to model the turbulent wave-front phase using fractional Brownian motion processes. Moreover, it extends results to non-Kolmogorov turbulence. In particular, generalized expressions for the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Dario G. Perez , Luciano Zunino , Mario Garavaglia

We provide non-asymptotic error bounds in the path Wasserstein distance with quadratic integral cost between suitable functionals of the telegraph process and the corresponding functional of Brownian motion with explicit diffusivity…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Gerardo Barrera , Jani Lukkarinen , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied