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We study pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for a class of Markov processes which we call generalized affine processes and which includes the Black-Scholes model as well as the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Eva Lütkebohmert , Thorsten Schmidt , Julian Sester

Robust optimization methods have shown practical advantages in a wide range of decision-making applications under uncertainty. Recently, their efficacy has been extended to multi-period settings. Current approaches model uncertainty either…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

We present a novel computational paradigm for process design in manufacturing processes that incorporates simulation responses to optimize manufacturing process parameters in high-dimensional temporal and spatial design spaces. We developed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Mojtaba Mozaffar , Jian Cao

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

We study procurement design when the buyer is uncertain about both the value of the good and the seller's cost. The buyer has a conjectured model but does not fully trust it. She first identifies mechanisms that maximize her worst-case…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-10 Debasis Mishra , Sanket Patil , Alessandro Pavan

It is nowadays widely acknowledged that optimal structural design should be robust with respect to the uncertainties in loads and material parameters. However, there are several alternatives to consider such uncertainties in structural…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Gustavo Assis da Silva , Eduardo Lenz Cardoso , Andre T. Beck

We present a method for determining optimal modes of operation for autonomously oscillating systems with uncertain parameters. In a typical application of the method, a nonlinear dynamical system is optimized with respect to an economic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Darya Kastsian , Martin Mönnigmann

Designing civil structures such as bridges, dams or buildings is a complex task requiring many synergies from several experts. Each is responsible for different parts of the process. This is often done in a sequential manner, e.g. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Atul Agrawal , Erik Tamsen , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Joerg F. Unger

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

The determination of acceptability prices of contingent claims requires the choice of a stochastic model for the underlying asset price dynamics. Given this model, optimal bid and ask prices can be found by stochastic optimization. However,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Martin Glanzer , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

How to compute (super) hedging costs in rather general fi- nancial market models with transaction costs in discrete-time ? Despite the huge literature on this topic, most of results are characterizations of the super-hedging prices while it…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Emmanuel Lepinette , Duc Thinh Vu

This paper presents a scheme for dual robust control of batch processes under parametric uncertainty. The dual-control paradigm arises in the context of adaptive control. A trade-off should be decided between the control actions that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-21 Radoslav Paulen , Miroslav Fikar

This paper surveys the primary computational hurdles of Energy Systems optimization coming from different sources: model-induced complexity, optimization algorithm requirements, and uncertainties handling (both aleatoric and epistemic).…

In this paper we analyze the effect of two modelling approaches for supply planning problems under uncertainty: two-stage stochastic programming (SP) and robust optimization (RO). The comparison between the two approaches is performed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Francesca Maggioni , Florian Potra , Marida Bertocchi

Many applications require the collection of data on different variables or measurements over many system performance metrics. We term those broadly as measures or variables. Often data collection along each measure incurs a cost, thus it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Donghui Yan , Zhiwei Qin , Songxiang Gu , Haiping Xu , Ming Shao

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

The need for control strategies that can address dynamic system uncertainty is becoming increasingly important. In this work, we propose a Model Predictive Control by quantifying the risk of failure in our system model. The proposed control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-17 Mostafa Tavakkoli Anbarani , Efe C. Balta , Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ilya Kovalenko

This work proposes a way to align statistical modeling with decision making. We provide a method that propagates the uncertainty in predictive modeling to the uncertainty in operational cost, where operational cost is the amount spent by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Theja Tulabandhula , Cynthia Rudin

This paper presents a computational framework for the robust stiffness design of hyperelastic structures at finite deformations subject to various uncertain sources. In particular, the loading, material properties, and geometry…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Nan Feng , Guodong Zhang , Kapil Khandelwal