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Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

iffusion-based generative models increasingly rely on inference-time guidance, adding a drift term or reweighting mixture of experts, to improve sample quality on task-specific objectives. However, most existing techniques require repeated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chenyang Wang , Weizhong Wang , Yinuo Ren , Jose Blanchet , Yiping Lu

We consider the jump telegraph process when switching intensities depend on external shocks also accompanying with jumps. The incomplete financial market model based on this process is studied. The Esscher transform, which changes only…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Nikita Ratanov

Recognizing the importance of jump risk in option pricing, we propose a neural jump stochastic differential equation model in this paper, which integrates neural networks as parameter estimators in the conventional jump diffusion model. To…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Duosi Zheng , Hanzhong Guo , Yanchu Liu , Wei Huang

The purpose of this paper is to consider the exit-time problem for a finite-range Markov jump process, i.e, the distance the particle can jump is bounded independent of its location. Such jump diffusions are expedient models for anomalous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Nathanial Burch , Marta D'Elia , R. B. Lehoucq

In this paper we consider two processes driven by diffusions and jumps. The jump components are Levy processes and they can both have finite activity and infinite activity. Given discrete observations we estimate the covariation between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

We present a Markovian market model driven by a hidden Brownian efficient price. In particular, we extend the queue-reactive model, making its dynamics dependent on the efficient price. Our study focuses on two sub-models: a signal-driven…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-16 Emmanouil Sfendourakis

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ma. Elena Hernández-Hernández , Saul Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatović

Generative diffusion models are extensively used in unsupervised and self-supervised machine learning with the aim to generate new samples from a probability distribution estimated with a set of known samples. They have demonstrated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-28 Wilfried Genuist , Éric Savin , Filippo Gatti , Didier Clouteau

Decentralized exchanges using automated market makers create arbitrage opportunities with centralized exchanges, where gas fees and transaction ordering are critical. Existing models largely overlook competition among arbitrageurs, despite…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-27 Xue Dong He , Chen Yang , Yutian Zhou

A novel probabilistic framework for modelling anomalous diffusion is presented. The resulting process is Markovian, non-homogeneous, non-stationary, non-ergodic, and state-dependent. The fundamental law governing this process is driven by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-03-07 Nestor Barraza , Gabriel Pena , Juliana Gambini , Florencia Carusela

The classical discrete time model of proportional transaction costs relies on the assumption that a feasible portfolio process has solvent increments at each step. We extend this setting in two directions, allowing for convex transaction…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Emmanuel Lepinette , Ilya Molchanov

We consider derivatives written on multiple underlyings in a one-period financial market, and we are interested in the computation of model-free upper and lower bounds for their arbitrage-free prices. We work in a completely realistic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-13 Ariel Neufeld , Antonis Papapantoleon , Qikun Xiang

We study investment and insurance demand decisions for an agent in a theoretical continuous-time expected utility maximization model that combines risky assets with an (exogenous) insurable background risk. This risk takes the form of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hugo E. Ramirez , Rafael Serrano

We propose a novel Black-Scholes model under which the stock price processes are modeled by stochastic differential equations driven by sub-diffusions. The new framework can capture the less financial activity phenomenon during the bear…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Shuaiqi Zhang , Zhen-Qing Chen

We provide necessary and sufficient first order geometric conditions for the stochastic invariance of a closed subset of R^d with respect to a jump-diffusion under weak regularity assumptions on the coefficients. Our main result extends the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Eduardo Abi Jaber

In this paper, local linear estimators are adapted for the unknown infinitesimal coefficients associated with continuous-time asset return model with jumps, which can correct the bias automatically due to their simple bias representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Yuping Song , Ying Chen , Zhouwei Wang

We introduce verifiable criteria for weak posterior consistency of identifiable Bayesian nonparametric inference for jump diffusions with unit diffusion coefficient and uniformly Lipschitz drift and jump coefficients in arbitrary dimension.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Dario Spano , Paul A. Jenkins