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Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

How can we discern whether the covariance operator of a stochastic process is of reduced rank, and if so, what its precise rank is? And how can we do so at a given level of confidence? This question is central to a great deal of methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Anirvan Chakraborty , Victor M. Panaretos

Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate or relatively large number of panels, while the panels contain a small number of observations. This paper establishes testing procedures to detect a possible common change in means of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-07 Barbora Peštová , Michal Pešta

Learning representation from relative similarity comparisons, often called ordinal embedding, gains rising attention in recent years. Most of the existing methods are batch methods designed mainly based on the convex optimization, say, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-01 Ke Ma , Jinshan Zeng , Jiechao Xiong , Qianqian Xu , Xiaochun Cao , Wei Liu , Yuan Yao

Long reasoning traces need reliability estimates before final answers are known. We study prefix-conditioned eventual-success estimation, $P(y=1 \mid o_{1:t})$, using prefix-safe observations. Sequential Bayesian Belief Tracking (SBBT)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Zhenghan Song , Yunyi Li , Yulong Liu

Reliable human evaluation is critical to the development of successful natural language generation models, but achieving it is notoriously difficult. Stability is a crucial requirement when ranking systems by quality: consistent ranking of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Parker Riley , Daniel Deutsch , George Foster , Viresh Ratnakar , Ali Dabirmoghaddam , Markus Freitag

Datasets can be biased due to societal inequities, human biases, under-representation of minorities, etc. Our goal is to certify that models produced by a learning algorithm are pointwise-robust to potential dataset biases. This is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Anna P. Meyer , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

Ranking lists are often provided at regular time intervals in a range of applications, including economics, sports, marketing, and politics. Most popular methods for rank-order data postulate a linear specification for the latent scores,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Matteo Iacopini , Eoghan O'Neill , Luca Rossini

Tree-based models are used in many high-stakes application domains such as finance and medicine, where robustness and interpretability are of utmost importance. Yet, methods for improving and certifying their robustness are severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Miklós Z. Horváth , Mark Niklas Müller , Marc Fischer , Martin Vechev

In this paper, we propose a new spectral-based approach to hypothesis testing for populations of networks. The primary goal is to develop a test to determine whether two given samples of networks come from the same random model or…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-26 Li Chen , Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin , Jie Zhou , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Web applications are distributed applications, they are programs that run on more than one computer and communicate through a network or server. This very distributed nature of web applications, combined with the scale and sheer complexity…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Akash Nagaraj , Bishesh Sinha , Mukund Sood , Yash Mathur , Sanchika Gupta , Dinkar Sitaram

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

We introduce the Generalized Turing Test (GTT), a formal framework for comparing the capabilities of arbitrary agents via indistinguishability. For agents A and B, we define the Turing comparator A $\geq$ B to hold if B, acting as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Daniel Mitropolsky , Susan S. Hong , Riccardo Neumarker , Emanuele Rimoldi , Tomaso Poggio

Conducting pairwise comparisons is a widely used approach in curating human perceptual preference data. Typically raters are instructed to make their choices according to a specific set of rules that address certain dimensions of image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Hossein Talebi , Ehsan Amid , Peyman Milanfar , Manfred K. Warmuth

Nonparametric two-sample testing is a classical problem in inferential statistics. While modern two-sample tests, such as the edge count test and its variants, can handle multivariate and non-Euclidean data, contemporary gargantuan datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Trambak Banerjee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Gourab Mukherjee

Standard multiple testing procedures are designed to report a list of discoveries, or suspected false null hypotheses, given the hypotheses' p-values or test scores. Recently there has been a growing interest in enhancing such procedures by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jack Freestone , William Stafford Noble , Uri Keich

This paper studies the problem of sequential Gaussian shift-in-mean hypothesis testing in a distributed multi-agent network. A sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) type algorithm in a distributed framework of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar

Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDTs) are widely used for building ranking and relevance models in search and recommendation. Considerations such as latency and interpretability dictate the use of as few features as possible to train…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-07 Cuize Han , Nikhil Rao , Daria Sorokina , Karthik Subbian
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