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Recently, there has been significant interest in linear regression in the situation where predictors and responses are not observed in matching pairs corresponding to the same statistical unit as a consequence of separate data collection…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-04 Martin Slawski , Guoqing Diao , Emanuel Ben-David

The general principles of Bayesian data analysis imply that models for survey responses should be constructed conditional on all variables that affect the probability of inclusion and nonresponse, which are also the variables used in survey…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-06 Andrew Gelman

The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura

Rating aggregation plays a crucial role in various fields, such as product recommendations, hotel rankings, and teaching evaluations. However, traditional averaging methods can be affected by participation bias, where some raters do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Yongkang Guo , Yuqing Kong , Jialiang Liu

Numerous multimodal misinformation benchmarks exhibit bias toward specific modalities, allowing detectors to make predictions based solely on one modality. While previous research has quantified bias at the dataset level or manually…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Hehai Lin , Hui Liu , Shilei Cao , Jing Li , Haoliang Li , Wenya Wang

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

Matching a nonprobability sample to a probability sample is one strategy both for selecting the nonprobability units and for weighting them. This approach has been employed in the past to select subsamples of persons from a large panel of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Zhan Liu , Richard Valliant

Learning under one-sided feedback (i.e., where we only observe the labels for examples we predicted positively on) is a fundamental problem in machine learning -- applications include lending and recommendation systems. Despite this, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Heinrich Jiang , Qijia Jiang , Aldo Pacchiano

Many selection problems are multilayered: agents first decide whether to participate and then sort among ordered or unordered categories. This paper shows that the sorting layer changes the geometry of identification. Unlike binary…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Dongwoo Kim

Recent advances in probabilistic deep learning enable efficient amortized Bayesian inference in settings where the likelihood function is only implicitly defined by a simulation program (simulation-based inference; SBI). But how faithful is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Marvin Schmitt , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

Subgroup analysis evaluates treatment effects across multiple sub-populations. When subgroups are defined by latent memberships inferred from imperfect measurements, the analysis typically involves two inter-connected models, a latent class…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Yuanhui Luo , Xinzhou Guo , Yuqi Gu

The expense of acquiring labels in large-scale statistical machine learning makes partially and weakly-labeled data attractive, though it is not always apparent how to leverage such data for model fitting or validation. We present a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John Duchi

We propose a framework for estimation and inference when the model may be misspecified. We rely on a local asymptotic approach where the degree of misspecification is indexed by the sample size. We construct estimators whose mean squared…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-11 Stéphane Bonhomme , Martin Weidner

The objective of this work is to propose an asymptotic correction method for the estimators of parameters from regression models with covariates subject to classification errors. A correction was developed based on the least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Alexandre Garcia Dias , Mariana Rodrigues Motta , Alexandre Hild Aono

We study the bias of classical quantile regression and instrumental variable quantile regression estimators. While being asymptotically first-order unbiased, these estimators can have non-negligible second-order biases. We derive a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Grigory Franguridi , Bulat Gafarov , Kaspar Wuthrich

We explore the problem of binary classification in machine learning, with a twist - the classifier is allowed to abstain on any datum, professing ignorance about the true class label without committing to any prediction. This is directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-29 Akshay Balsubramani

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah

Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (e.g., say "I don't know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective models can be effective at producing more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Adam Fisch , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

Semi-supervised learning plays an important role in large-scale machine learning. Properly using additional unlabeled data (largely available nowadays) often can improve the machine learning accuracy. However, if the machine learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Zhaocai Sun , William K. Cheung , Xiaofeng Zhang , Jun Yang
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