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Unlike natural language processing and computer vision, the development of Foundation Models (FMs) for time series forecasting is blocked due to data scarcity. While recent efforts are focused on building such FMs by unlocking the potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Qingxiang Liu , Xu Liu , Chenghao Liu , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Functional data play a pivotal role across science and engineering, yet their infinite-dimensional nature makes representation learning challenging. Conventional statistical models depend on pre-chosen basis expansions or kernels, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yifei Gao , Yong Chen , Chen Zhang

Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Lars Graf , Thomas Ortner , Stanisław Woźniak , Angeliki Pantazi

Stellar flare events are critical observational samples for astronomical research; however, recorded flare events remain limited. Stellar flare forecasting can provide additional flare event samples to support research efforts. Despite this…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-23 Bingke Zhu , Xiaoxiao Wang , Minghui Jia , Yihan Tao , Xiao Kong , Ali Luo , Yingying Chen , Ming Tang , Jinqiao Wang

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, and their application in edge scenarios has attracted significant attention. However, sparse-activated Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Zhiyuan Fang , Zicong Hong , Yuegui Huang , Yufeng Lyu , Wuhui Chen , Yue Yu , Fan Yu , Zibin Zheng

Existing generative models for time series forecasting often transform simple priors (typically Gaussian) into complex data distributions. However, their sampling initialization, independent of historical data, hinders the capture of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Huibo Xu , Runlong Yu , Likang Wu , Xianquan Wang , Qi Liu

Classifier-free guidance is a key component for enhancing the performance of conditional generative models across diverse tasks. While it has previously demonstrated remarkable improvements for the sample quality, it has only been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Qinqing Zheng , Matt Le , Neta Shaul , Yaron Lipman , Aditya Grover , Ricky T. Q. Chen

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Normalizing flows are a powerful class of generative models for continuous random variables, showing both strong model flexibility and the potential for non-autoregressive generation. These benefits are also desired when modeling discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-06 Zachary M. Ziegler , Alexander M. Rush

Continuous diffusion and flow matching models could represent a powerful alternative to autoregressive approaches for language modelling (LM), as they unlock a host of advantages currently reserved for continuous modalities, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Oscar Davis , Anastasiia Filippova , Pierre Ablin , Victor Turrisi , Amitis Shidani , Marco Cuturi , Louis Béthune

Machine learning methods have been shown to be effective for weather forecasting, based on the speed and accuracy compared to traditional numerical models. While early efforts primarily concentrated on deterministic predictions, the field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Deploying pretrained visual models in real-world environments often suffers from significant performance degradation due to the diversity of testing scenarios. Continuous adaptation of learning models on edge devices via unlabeled data…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Jianming Lv , Chengjun Wang , Depin Liang , Qianli Ma , Wei Chen , Xueqi Cheng

Time series forecasting in specialized domains is often constrained by limited data availability, where conventional models typically require large-scale datasets to effectively capture underlying temporal dynamics. To tackle this few-shot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Haonan Shi , Dehua Shuai , Liming Wang , Xiyang Liu , Long Tian

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

Generative AI (GenAI) has revolutionized data-driven modeling by enabling the synthesis of high-dimensional data across various applications, including image generation, language modeling, biomedical signal processing, and anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Yao Xie , Xiuyuan Cheng

Flow matching models have shown great potential in image generation tasks among probabilistic generative models. However, most flow matching models in the literature do not explicitly utilize the underlying clustering structure in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Anirban Samaddar , Yixuan Sun , Viktor Nilsson , Sandeep Madireddy

Flow Matching (FM) has recently emerged as a powerful approach for high-quality visual generation. However, their prohibitively slow inference due to a large number of denoising steps limits their potential use in real-time or interactive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Divya Jyoti Bajpai , Shubham Agarwal , Apoorv Saxena , Kuldeep Kulkarni , Subrata Mitra , Manjesh Kumar Hanawal

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Modeling stochastic and irregularly sampled time series is a challenging problem found in a wide range of applications, especially in medicine. Neural stochastic differential equations (Neural SDEs) are an attractive modeling technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Xi Zhang , Yuan Pu , Yuki Kawamura , Andrew Loza , Yoshua Bengio , Dennis L. Shung , Alexander Tong

Accurate and safe medication recommendations are critical for effective clinical decision-making, especially in multimorbidity cases. However, existing systems rely on point-wise prediction paradigms that overlook synergistic drug effects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Chenxiao Fan , Chongming Gao , Wentao Shi , Yaxin Gong , Zihao Zhao , Fuli Feng