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This paper considers the problem of randomized influence maximization over a Markovian graph process: given a fixed set of nodes whose connectivity graph is evolving as a Markov chain, estimate the probability distribution (over this fixed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

We introduce a rigorous framework for stochastic cell transmission models for general traffic networks. The performance of traffic systems is evaluated based on preference functionals and acceptable designs. The numerical implementation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Zachary Feinstein , Marcel Kleiber , Stefan Weber

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

This study introduces a simplified model for bridge-vehicle interaction for medium- to long-span bridges subject to random traffic loads. Previous studies have focused on calculating the exact response of the vehicle or the bridge based on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-03 Soheil Sadeghi Eshkevari , Thomas J. Matarazzo , Shamim N. Pakzad

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

Generative models are invaluable in many fields of science because of their ability to capture high-dimensional and complicated distributions, such as photo-realistic images, protein structures, and connectomes. How do we evaluate the…

Given a set of $K$ probability densities, we consider the multimarginal generative modeling problem of learning a joint distribution that recovers these densities as marginals. The structure of this joint distribution should identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Michael Lindsey , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We investigate stochastic interpolation, a recently introduced framework for high dimensional sampling which bears many similarities to diffusion modeling. Stochastic interpolation generates a data sample by first randomly initializing a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mara Daniels

Generative models that can model and predict sequences of future events can, in principle, learn to capture complex real-world phenomena, such as physical interactions. However, a central challenge in video prediction is that the future is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Manoj Kumar , Mohammad Babaeizadeh , Dumitru Erhan , Chelsea Finn , Sergey Levine , Laurent Dinh , Durk Kingma

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

Conditions on the generator of a Markov process to control the fluctuations of its bridges are found. In particular, continuous time random walks on graphs and gradient diffusions are considered. Under these conditions, a concentration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Giovanni Conforti

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

Generative models have recently emerged as powerful surrogates for physical systems, demonstrating increased accuracy, stability, and/or statistical fidelity. Most approaches rely on iteratively denoising a Gaussian, a choice that may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Anthony Zhou , Alexander Wikner , Amaury Lancelin , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Amir Barati Farimani

A new vehicular traffic flow model based on a stochastic jump process in vehicle acceleration and braking is introduced. It is based on a master equation for the single car probability density in space, velocity and acceleration with an…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 K. Thomas Waldeer

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

The Schr\"odinger bridge problem is concerned with finding a stochastic dynamical system bridging two marginal distributions that minimises a certain transportation cost. This problem, which represents a generalisation of optimal transport…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Kirill Tamogashev , Nikolay Malkin

In this paper we investigate the behavior of the bridges of a Markov counting process in several directions. We first characterize convexity(concavity) in time of the mean value in terms of lower (upper) bounds on the so called…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Giovanni Conforti

The time evolution of many physical, chemical, and biological systems can be modelled by stochastic transitions between the minima of the potential energy surface describing the system of interest. We show that in cases where there are two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-11 S. P. Fitzgerald , A. Bailey Hass , G. Díaz Leines , A. J. Archer