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We introduce a sound and complete equational theory capturing equivalence of discrete probabilistic programs, that is, programs extended with primitives for Bernoulli distributions and conditioning, to model distributions over finite sets…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Robin Piedeleu , Mateo Torres-Ruiz , Alexandra Silva , Fabio Zanasi

We present a Bayesian approach to machine learning with probabilistic programs. In our approach, training on available data is implemented as inference on a hierarchical model. The posterior distribution of model parameters is then used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 David Tolpin

The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin

The distribution semantics is one of the most prominent approaches for the combination of logic programming and probability theory. Many languages follow this semantics, such as Independent Choice Logic, PRISM, pD, Logic Programs with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-05 Fabrizio Riguzzi , Terrance Swift

Probabilistic timed automata are classical timed automata extended with discrete probability distributions over edges. We introduce clock-dependent probabilistic timed automata, a variant of probabilistic timed automata in which transition…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Jeremy Sproston

Probabilistic modeling enables combining domain knowledge with learning from data, thereby supporting learning from fewer training instances than purely data-driven methods. However, learning probabilistic models is difficult and has not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Avi Pfeffer

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are expressive means for creating and reasoning about probabilistic models. Unfortunately hybrid probabilistic programs, involving both continuous and discrete structures, are not well supported by…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Poorva Garg , Steven Holtzen , Guy Van den Broeck , Todd Millstein

We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define a notion of computable randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

This paper studies theoretically and empirically a method of turning machine-learning algorithms into probabilistic predictors that automatically enjoys a property of validity (perfect calibration) and is computationally efficient. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-16 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Valentina Fedorova

Probabilistic forecasting of time series is an important matter in many applications and research fields. In order to draw conclusions from a probabilistic forecast, we must ensure that the model class used to approximate the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Philipp F. M. Baumann , Thomas Kneib , Torsten Hothorn

We consider the value 1 problem for probabilistic automata over finite words: it asks whether a given probabilistic automaton accepts words with probability arbitrarily close to 1. This problem is known to be undecidable. However, different…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Nathanaël Fijalkow

We propose a data-driven, coarse-graining formulation in the context of equilibrium statistical mechanics. In contrast to existing techniques which are based on a fine-to-coarse map, we adopt the opposite strategy by prescribing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Markus Schöberl , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

This paper presents the first slicing approach for probabilistic programs based on specifications. We show that when probabilistic programs are accompanied by their specifications in the form of pre- and post-condition, we can exploit this…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Marcelo Navarro , Federico Olmedo

We study a syntax for specifying quantitative "assertions" - functions mapping program states to numbers - for probabilistic program verification. We prove that our syntax is expressive in the following sense: Given any probabilistic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Kevin Batz , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

Stochastic finite automata arise naturally in many language and speech processing tasks. They include stochastic acceptors, which represent certain probability distributions over random strings. We consider the problem of efficient…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Martin Jansche , Alexander Gutkin

Bayesian inference can quantify uncertainty in the predictions of neural networks using posterior distributions for model parameters and network output. By looking at these posterior distributions, one can separate the origin of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 H. Linander , O. Balabanov , H. Yang , B. Mehlig

Sequential algorithms are popular for experimental design, enabling emulation, optimisation and inference to be efficiently performed. For most of these applications bespoke software has been developed, but the approach is general and many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-18 Matthew A. Fisher , Onur Teymur , Chris. J. Oates

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Software systems are complex, and behavioral comprehension with the increasing amount of AI components challenges traditional testing and maintenance strategies.The lack of tools and methodologies for behavioral software comprehension…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Hannes Thaller , Lukas Linsbauer , Rudolf Ramler , Alexander Egyed

We propose a novel method for automatic program synthesis. P-Tree Programming represents the program search space through a single probabilistic prototype tree. From this prototype tree we form program instances which we evaluate on a given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-13 Christian Oesch