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Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

We show how to value both variable generation and energy storage to enable them to be integrated fairly and optimally into electricity capacity markets. We develop theory based on balancing expected energy unserved against costs of capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Stan Zachary , Amy Wilson , Chris Dent

The coordinated operation of interconnected but locally controlled electricity markets is generally referred to as a "coupling". In this paper we propose a new mechanism design for efficient coupling of independent electricity markets. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Alfredo Garcia , Roohallah Khatami , Ceyhun Eksin , Furkan Sezer

We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Daniel Bienstock , Yury Dvorkin , Cheng Guo , Robert Mieth , Jiayi Wang

In many markets, like electricity or cloud computing markets, providers incur large costs for keeping sufficient capacity in reserve to accommodate demand fluctuations of a mostly fixed user base. These costs are significantly affected by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Ludwig Dierks , Sven Seuken

High shares of variable renewable energy necessitate substantial energy storage capacity. However, it remains unclear how to design a market that, on the one hand, ensures a stable and sufficient income for storage firms, and, on the other…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-06 Aviad Navon , Juri Belikov , Ariel Orda , Yoash Levron

Locational Marginal Price (LMP) is a dual variable associated with supply-demand matching and represents the cost of delivering power to a particular location if the load at that location increases. In recent times it become more volatile…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Shantanu Chakraborty , Remco Verzijlbergh , Milos Cvetkovic , Kyri Baker , Zofia Lukszo

Energy costs are a major factor in the total cost of ownership (TCO) for high-performance computing (HPC) systems. The rise of intermittent green energy sources and reduced reliance on fossil fuels have introduced volatility into…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Peter Arzt , Felix Wolf

An increase in energy production from renewable energy sources is viewed as a crucial achievement in most industrialized countries. The higher variability of power production via renewables leads to a rise in ancillary service costs over…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-25 Mario Mureddu , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Wholesale electricity market designs in practice do not provide the market participants with adequate mechanisms to hedge their financial risks. Demanders and suppliers will likely face even greater risks with the deepening penetration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Khaled Alshehri , Subhonmesh Bose , Tamer Başar

As the role of variable renewables in electricity markets expands, new market products help system operators manage imbalances caused by uncertainty and variability. Whereas work in the last decade has focused on constructing demand curves…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-30 Elina Spyrou , Robin Hytowitz , Benjamin F. Hobbs , Ibrahim Krad , Liping Li , Mengmeng Cai , Michael Blonsky

We propose a new forward electricity market framework that admits heterogeneous market participants with second-order cone strategy sets, who accurately express the nonlinearities in their costs and constraints through conic bids, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-20 Anubhav Ratha , Pierre Pinson , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Virag , Jalal Kazempour

Meeting the ever-growing needs of the power grid requires constant infrastructure enhancement. There are two important aspects for a grid ability to ensure continuous and reliable electricity delivery to consumers: capacity, the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Rene Carmona , Xinshuo Yang , Claire Zeng

We consider a general power market with price-sensitive consumer bids and non-convexities originating from supply (start-up and no-load costs, nonzero minimum output limits of generating units, etc.) and demand. The convex hull…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Vadim Borokhov

In this paper, we propose a complete modelling framework to value several batteries in the electricity intraday market at the trading session scale. The model consists of a stochastic model for the 24 mid-prices (one price per delivery…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-23 Enzo Cognéville , Thomas Deschatre , Xavier Warin

This paper presents a scenario based robust optimization framework for short term energy scheduling in electricity intensive industrial plants, explicitly addressing uncertainty in planning decisions. The model is formulated as a two-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Sebastián Rojas-Innocenti , Enrique Baeyens , Alejandro Martín-Crespo , Sergio Saludes-Rodil , Fernando Frechoso Escudero

The transition of the electrical power grid from fossil fuels to renewable sources of energy raises fundamental challenges to the market-clearing algorithms that drive its operations. Indeed, the increased stochasticity in load and the…

In this paper we introduce a new concept for modelling electricity prices through the introduction of an unobservable intrinsic electricity price $p(\tau)$. We use it to connect the classical theory of storage with the concept of a risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Wieger Hinderks , Ralf Korn , Andreas Wagner

The use of energy storage to balance electric grids is increasing and, with it, the importance of operational optimisation from the twin viewpoints of cost and system stability. In this paper we assess the real option value of balancing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-19 John Moriarty , Jan Palczewski

Nonconvexities in markets with discrete decisions and nonlinear constraints make efficient pricing challenging, often necessitating subsidies. A prime example is the unit commitment (UC) problem in electricity markets, where costly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Cheng Guo , Lauren Henderson , Ryan Cory-Wright , Boshi Yang
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