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Model Predictive Control (MPC) has shown to be a successful method for many applications that require control. Especially in the presence of prediction uncertainty, various types of MPC offer robust or efficient control system behavior. For…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Jie Zhan , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification that replaces point predictions with sets, offering marginal coverage guarantees (i.e., ensuring that the prediction sets contain the true label with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Margarida M. Campos , João Calém , Sophia Sklaviadis , Mário A. T. Figueiredo , André F. T. Martins

Risk-aware navigation in unknown environments is a fundamental challenge for autonomous vehicles operating in complex urban systems. To address this issue, this paper presents a differentiable optimization layered safety-critical control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Jinyang Dong , Shizhen Wu , Yongchun Fang

We transform the randomness of LLMs into precise assurances using an actuator at the API interface that applies a user-defined risk constraint in finite samples via Conformal Risk Control (CRC). This label-free and model-agnostic actuator…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Lingyou Pang , Lei Huang , Jianyu Lin , Tianyu Wang , Alexander Aue , Carey E. Priebe

In adaptive-sampling control, the control frequency can be adjusted during task execution. Ensuring that these changes do not jeopardize the safety of the system being controlled requires attention. We introduce robust M-step hold model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Spencer Schutz , Charlott Vallon , Francesco Borrelli

Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) problems arise in systems influenced by uncertainty, such as autonomous robots or financial models. Traditional methods like dynamic programming are often intractable for high-dimensional, nonlinear systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Apurva Patil

Predictive safety filters enable the integration of potentially unsafe learning-based control approaches and humans into safety-critical systems. In addition to simple constraint satisfaction, many control problems involve additional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-19 Elias Milios , Kim Peter Wabersich , Felix Berkel , Lukas Schwenkel

This paper introduces an uncertainty compensation-based robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems with nonlinear time-varying uncertainties. The framework integrates an L1 adaptive controller to compensate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Ran Tao , Pan Zhao , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Naira Hovakimyan

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for robust and reliable predictions. However, existing spatiotemporal deep learning mostly focuses on deterministic prediction, overlooking the inherent uncertainty in such prediction. Particularly,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Dingyi Zhuang , Yuheng Bu , Guang Wang , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

Spectral Clustering(SC) is a prominent data clustering technique of recent times which has attracted much attention from researchers. It is a highly data-driven method and makes no strict assumptions on the structure of the data to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Lalith Srikanth Chintalapati , Raghunatha Sarma Rachakonda

Quantifying uncertainty in clinical predictions is critical for high-stakes diagnosis tasks. Conformal prediction offers a principled approach by providing prediction sets with theoretical coverage guarantees. However, in practice, patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Arjun Chatterjee , Sayeed Sajjad Razin , John Wu , Siddhartha Laghuvarapu , Jathurshan Pradeepkumar , Jimeng Sun

Scene Graph Generation (SGG) aims to represent visual scenes by identifying objects and their pairwise relationships, providing a structured understanding of image content. However, inherent challenges like long-tailed class distributions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Sayak Nag , Udita Ghosh , Calvin-Khang Ta , Sarosij Bose , Jiachen Li , Amit K Roy Chowdhury

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

Reliable uncertainty quantification at unobserved spatial locations, especially in the presence of complex and heterogeneous datasets, remains a core challenge in spatial statistics. Traditional approaches like Kriging rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

This article presents a robust control strategy using Time-Optimal Model Predictive Control (TOMPC) for a two-level quantum system subject to bounded uncertainties. In this method, the control field is optimized over a finite horizon using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Yunyan Lee , Ian R. Petersen , Daoyi Dong

We introduce Conformal Decision Theory, a framework for producing safe autonomous decisions despite imperfect machine learning predictions. Examples of such decisions are ubiquitous, from robot planning algorithms that rely on pedestrian…

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber
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