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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

This work proposes an approach that integrates reinforcement learning and model predictive control (MPC) to solve finite-horizon optimal control problems in mixed-logical dynamical systems efficiently. Optimization-based control of such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Caio Fabio Oliveira da Silva , Azita Dabiri , Bart De Schutter

This paper proposes a multi-step probabilistic forecasting framework using a single neural-network based model to generate simultaneous point and interval forecasts. Our approach ensures non-crossing prediction intervals (PIs) through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Worachit Amnuaypongsa , Yotsapat Suparanonrat , Pana Wanitchollakit , Jitkomut Songsiri

Many decision processes in artificial intelligence and operations research are modeled by parametric optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize (PtO)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-13 My H Dinh , James Kotary , Ferdinando Fioretto

In the wake of the highly electrified future ahead of us, the role of energy storage is crucial wherever distributed generation is abundant, such as in microgrid settings. Given the variety of storage options that are becoming more and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 S. Tsianikas , N. Yousefi , J. Zhou , M. Rodgers , D. W. Coit

We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Arnd Hartmanns , Nils Jansen , Marnix Suilen

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

To address the intermittency of renewable energy source (RES) generation, scenario forecasting offers a series of stochastic realizations for predictive objects with superior flexibility and direct views. Based on a long time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yifei Wu , Bo Wang , Jingshi Cui , Pei-chun Lin , Junzo Watada

Increasing threats of global warming and climate changes call for an energy-efficient and sustainable design of future wireless communication systems. To this end, a novel two-scale stochastic control framework is put forth for smart-grid…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-22 Xin Wang , Xiaojing Chen , Tianyi Chen , Longbo Huang , Georgios B. Giannakis

In this paper, we present a receding-horizon, sampling-based planner capable of reasoning over multimodal policy distributions. By using the cross-entropy method to optimize a multimodal policy under a common cost function, our approach…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Mark Gonzales , Ethan Oh , Joseph Moore

As power systems are undergoing a significant transformation with more uncertainties, less inertia and closer to operation limits, there is increasing risk of large outages. Thus, there is an imperative need to enhance grid emergency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Renke Huang , Yujiao Chen , Tianzhixi Yin , Qiuhua Huang , Jie Tan , Wenhao Yu , Xinya Li , Ang Li , Yan Du

Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

To mitigate global climate change, distributed energy resources (DERs), such as distributed generators, flexible loads, and energy storage systems (ESSs), have witnessed rapid growth in power distribution systems. When properly managed,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Rui Xie , Yue Chen

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

End-to-end engineering design pipelines, in which designs are evaluated using concurrently defined optimal controllers, are becoming increasingly common in practice. To discover designs that perform well even under the misspecification of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-10 Yash Patel , Sahana Rayan , Ambuj Tewari

Solving chance-constrained optimal control problems for systems subject to non-stationary uncertainties is a significant challenge.Conventional robust model predictive control (MPC) often yields excessive conservatism by relying on static…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Mingcong Li

A power system unit commitment (UC) problem considering uncertainties of renewable energy sources is investigated in this paper, through a distributionally robust optimization approach. We assume that the first and second order moments of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Xiaodong Zheng , Haoyong Chen , Yan Xu , Zhengmao Li , Zhenjia Lin , Zipeng Liang

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Quantifying the potential benefits of microgrids in the design phase can support the transition of passive distribution networks into microgrids. At current, reliability and resilience are the main drivers for this transition. Therefore,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Raphael Wu , Giovanni Sansavini

Quantification and minimization of uncertainty is an important task in the design of electromagnetic devices, which comes with high computational effort. We propose a hybrid approach combining the reliability and accuracy of a Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps