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Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

The eigenvalue density for members of the Gaussian orthogonal and unitary ensembles follows the Wigner semi-circle law. If the Gaussian entries are all shifted by a constant amount c/Sqrt(2N), where N is the size of the matrix, in the large…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-04-21 Kevin E. Bassler , Peter J. Forrester , Norman E. Frankel

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Maximum-type statistics of certain functions of the sample covariance matrix of high-dimensional vector time series are studied to statistically confirm or reject the null hypothesis that a data set has been collected under normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Ansgar Steland

We consider stationary sequences whose marginal tail is subexponential and lies in the Gumbel Maximum domain of attraction. Due to the extremely strong dependence, their extreme values are caused by multiple big values and are clustered in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Zao-Li Chen

The Ginibre ensemble of complex random Hamiltonian matrices $H$ is considered. Each quantum system described by $H$ is a dissipative system and the eigenenergies $Z_{i}$ of the Hamiltonian are complex-valued random variables. For generic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maciej M. Duras

In a companion paper (McRobie(2013) arxiv:1304.3918), a simple set of `elemental' estimators was presented for the Generalized Pareto tail parameter. Each elemental estimator: involves only three log-spacings; is absolutely unbiased for all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Allan McRobie

We derive exponential bounds on probabilities of large deviations for "light tail" martingales taking values in finite-dimensional normed spaces. Our primary emphasis is on the case where the bounds are dimension-independent or nearly so.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadii S. Nemirovski

We consider discrete $\beta$-ensembles, as introduced by Borodin, Gorin and Guionnet in (Publications math{\' e}matiques de l'IH{\' E}S 125, 1-78, 2017). Under general assumptions, we establish a large deviation principle for the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Evgeni Dimitrov , Hengzhi Zhang

The estimation of conditional quantiles at extreme tails is of great interest in numerous applications. Various methods that integrate regression analysis with an extrapolation strategy derived from extreme value theory have been proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Yiwei Tang , Judy Huixia Wang , Deyuan Li

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimator of a probability density function and its partial derivatives. Unlike the density estimator, the derivatives estimators exhibit a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

The Ginibre ensemble of nonhermitean random Hamiltonian matrices $K$ is considered. Each quantum system described by $K$ is a dissipative system and the eigenenergies $Z_{i}$ of the Hamiltonian are complex-valued random variables. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maciej M. Duras

We show that non-Hermitian Ginibre random matrix behaviors emerge in spatially-extended many-body quantum chaotic systems in the space direction, just as Hermitian random matrix behaviors emerge in chaotic systems in the time direction.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-11 Saumya Shivam , Andrea De Luca , David A. Huse , Amos Chan

In the first part we study critical points of random polynomials. We choose two deterministic sequences of complex numbers,whose empirical measures converge to the same probability measure in complex plane. We make a sequence of polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Tulasi Ram Reddy

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

A famous result going back to Eric Kostlan states that the moduli of the eigenvalues of random normal matrices with radial potential are independent yet non identically distributed. This phenomenon is at the heart of the asymptotic analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 David García-Zelada

We find large deviation principles for the degree distribution and the proportion of isolated vertices for the near intermediate random geometric graph models on n vertices placed uniformly in [0, 1]^d, for d in N. In the course of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-13 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

We study large and moderate deviations for a life insurance portfolio, without assuming identically distributed losses. The crucial assumption is that losses are bounded, and that variances are bounded below. From a standard large…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Stefan Gerhold