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Unbiased estimators are introduced for averaged Bregman divergences which generalize Stein's Unbiased (Predictive) Risk Estimator, and the minimization of these estimators is proposed as a regularization parameter selection method for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Elias S. Helou , Sandra A. Santos , Lucas E. A. Simões

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

One of the fundamental problems in machine learning is the estimation of a probability distribution from data. Many techniques have been proposed to study the structure of data, most often building around the assumption that observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-22 Oren Rippel , Ryan Prescott Adams

We consider the problem of distributed estimation of an unknown deterministic scalar parameter (the target signal) in a wireless sensor network (WSN), where each sensor receives a single snapshot of the field. We assume that the observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-09 Qing Zhou , Di Li , Soummya Kar , Lauren Huie , H. Vincent Poor , Shuguang Cui

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

This paper studies the properties of debiased machine learning (DML) estimators under a novel asymptotic framework, offering insights for improving the performance of these estimators in applications. DML is an estimation method suited to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-05 Amilcar Velez

We consider statistical inference for a single coordinate of regression coefficients in high-dimensional linear models. Recently, the debiased estimators are popularly used for constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis testing in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Sai Li

We introduce a discriminative regression approach to supervised classification in this paper. It estimates a representation model while accounting for discriminativeness between classes, thereby enabling accurate derivation of categorical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Chong Peng , Qiang Cheng

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

Probability density models based on deep networks have achieved remarkable success in modeling complex high-dimensional datasets. However, unlike kernel density estimators, modern neural models do not yield marginals or conditionals in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 Dar Gilboa , Ari Pakman , Thibault Vatter

SDE-based methods such as denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) have shown remarkable success in real-world sample generation tasks. Prior analyses of DDPMs have been focused on the exponential Euler discretization, showing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Matthew S. Zhang , Stephen Huan , Jerry Huang , Nicholas M. Boffi , Sitan Chen , Sinho Chewi

Recommender systems are seen as an effective tool to address information overload, but it is widely known that the presence of various biases makes direct training on large-scale observational data result in sub-optimal prediction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Haoxuan Li , Yanghao Xiao , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

In numerous regular statistical models, median bias reduction (Kenne Pagui et al., 2017) has proven to be a noteworthy improvement over maximum likelihood, alternative to mean bias reduction. The estimator is obtained as solution to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the bias of estimators due to the ever-increasing data size and model complexity. Approximate numerical methods and data features like censoring and misclassification often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Yuming Zhang

We consider discretized two-dimensional PDE-constrained shape optimization problems, in which shapes are represented by triangular meshes. Given the connectivity, the space of admissible vertex positions was recently identified to be a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-17 Roland Herzog , Estefanía Loayza-Romero

A prominent family of methods for learning data distributions relies on density ratio estimation (DRE), where a model is trained to $\textit{classify}$ between data samples and samples from some reference distribution. DRE-based models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Shahar Yadin , Noam Elata , Tomer Michaeli

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

Uncertainty estimation in machine learning is paramount for enhancing the reliability and interpretability of predictive models, especially in high-stakes real-world scenarios. Despite the availability of numerous methods, they often pose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Anton Baumann , Thomas Roßberg , Michael Schmitt

Ratings of a user to most items in recommender systems are usually missing not at random (MNAR), largely because users are free to choose which items to rate. To achieve unbiased learning of the prediction model under MNAR data, three…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Haoxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Wenjie Wang , Hao Wang , Fuli Feng , Xiao-Hua Zhou