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Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

The success of deep active learning hinges on the choice of an effective acquisition function, which ranks not yet labeled data points according to their expected informativeness. Many acquisition functions are (partly) based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Mohamadsadegh Khosravani , Sandra Zilles

Implicit models separate the definition of a layer from the description of its solution process. While implicit layers allow features such as depth to adapt to new scenarios and inputs automatically, this adaptivity makes its computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Avik Pal , Alan Edelman , Christopher Rackauckas

We present a robust Deep Hedging framework for the pricing and hedging of option portfolios that significantly improves training efficiency and model robustness. In particular, we propose a neural model for training model embeddings which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-24 Fabienne Schmid , Daniel Oeltz

Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus, Reinforcement…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Andrei Neagu , Frédéric Godin , Clarence Simard , Leila Kosseim

This paper introduces recurrent equilibrium networks (RENs), a new class of nonlinear dynamical models} for applications in machine learning, system identification and control. The new model class admits ``built in'' behavioural guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Max Revay , Ruigang Wang , Ian R. Manchester

This paper proposes a two-phase deep reinforcement learning approach, for hedging variable annuity contracts with both GMMB and GMDB riders, which can address model miscalibration in Black-Scholes financial and constant force of mortality…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-04 Wing Fung Chong , Haoen Cui , Yuxuan Li

Deep hedging represents a cutting-edge approach to risk management for financial derivatives by leveraging the power of deep learning. However, existing methods often face challenges related to computational inefficiency, sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Lei Zhao , Lin Cai

Despite the power of deep neural networks for a wide range of tasks, an overconfident prediction issue has limited their practical use in many safety-critical applications. Many recent works have been proposed to mitigate this issue, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Jooyoung Moon , Jihyo Kim , Younghak Shin , Sangheum Hwang

The Evidential Regression Network (ERN) represents a novel approach that integrates deep learning with Dempster-Shafer's theory to predict a target and quantify the associated uncertainty. Guided by the underlying theory, specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kai Ye , Tiejin Chen , Hua Wei , Liang Zhan

Robust reinforcement learning aims to produce policies that have strong guarantees even in the face of environments/transition models whose parameters have strong uncertainty. Existing work uses value-based methods and the usual primitive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Daniel J. Mankowitz , Timothy A. Mann , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Doina Precup , Shie Mannor

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Deep Neural Networks are vulnerable to adversarial attacks even in settings where the attacker has no direct access to the model being attacked. Such attacks usually rely on the principle of transferability, whereby an attack crafted on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-30 Sanjay Kariyappa , Moinuddin K. Qureshi

Implicit neural networks, a.k.a., deep equilibrium networks, are a class of implicit-depth learning models where function evaluation is performed by solving a fixed point equation. They generalize classic feedforward models and are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-27 Saber Jafarpour , Alexander Davydov , Anton V. Proskurnikov , Francesco Bullo

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

Recent advancements in Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DRL) for modeling loss distributions have shown promise in developing hedging strategies in derivatives markets. A common approach in DRL involves learning the quantiles of loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-28 Parvin Malekzadeh , Zissis Poulos , Jacky Chen , Zeyu Wang , Konstantinos N. Plataniotis

The use of non-translation invariant risk measures within the equal risk pricing (ERP) methodology for the valuation of financial derivatives is investigated. The ability to move beyond the class of convex risk measures considered in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-26 Alexandre Carbonneau , Frédéric Godin

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Representing a signal as a continuous function parameterized by neural network (a.k.a. Implicit Neural Representations, INRs) has attracted increasing attention in recent years. Neural Processes (NPs), which model the distributions over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Zongyu Guo , Cuiling Lan , Zhizheng Zhang , Yan Lu , Zhibo Chen

Deep neural networks provide flexible frameworks for learning data representations and functions relating data to other properties and are often claimed to achieve 'super-human' performance in inferring relationships between input data and…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-05-26 Keith T. Butler , Manh Duc Le , Jeyarajan Thiyagalingam , Toby G. Perring