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Related papers: Contrastive Time Series Forecasting with Anomalies

200 papers

Time series forecasting (TSF) holds significant importance in modern society, spanning numerous domains. Previous representation learning-based TSF algorithms typically embrace a contrastive learning paradigm featuring segregated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Jiaxin Gao , Yuxiao Hu , Qinglong Cao , Siqi Dai , Yuntian Chen

Time series forecasting has become increasingly critical in real-world scenarios, where future sequences are influenced not only by historical patterns but also by forthcoming events. In this context, forecasting must dynamically adapt to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Shuqi Gu , Yongxiang Zhao , Baoyu Jing , Kan Ren

Deep forecasting models often suffer from attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations as network depth increases. Moreover, the widely adopted channel-independent paradigm, while improving training stability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hua Wang , Xianhao Jiao , Fan Zhang

Time series forecasting (TSF) remains a challenging and largely unsolved problem in machine learning, despite significant recent efforts leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs), which predominantly rely on Transformer architectures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yufa Zhou , Yixiao Wang , Surbhi Goel , Anru R. Zhang

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Time series anomaly detection is essential for the reliable operation of complex systems, but most existing methods require extensive task-specific training. We explore whether time series foundation models (TSFMs), pretrained on large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

One main challenge in time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is the lack of labelled data in many real-life scenarios. Most of the existing anomaly detection methods focus on learning the normal behaviour of unlabelled time series in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zahra Zamanzadeh Darban , Geoffrey I. Webb , Shirui Pan , Charu C. Aggarwal , Mahsa Salehi

Time series forecasting (TSF) is essential in various domains, and recent advancements in diffusion-based TSF models have shown considerable promise. However, these models typically adopt traditional diffusion patterns, treating TSF as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen

This paper introduces temporal-conditioned normalizing flows (tcNF), a novel framework that addresses anomaly detection in time series data with accurate modeling of temporal dependencies and uncertainty. By conditioning normalizing flows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 David Baumgartner , Helge Langseth , Kenth Engø-Monsen , Heri Ramampiaro

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is an evolving area of research motivated by its critical applications, such as detecting seismic activity, sensor failures in industrial plants, predicting crashes in the stock market, and so on. Across…

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Deep learning has shown strong performance in time series forecasting tasks. However, issues such as missing values and anomalies in sequential data hinder its further development in prediction tasks. Previous research has primarily focused…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Hua Wang , Jinghao Lu , Fan Zhang

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance in univariate forecasting on new time series simply by conditioned on a brief history of past values. Their success demonstrates that large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Afrin Dange , Sunita Sarawagi

Among recent developments in time series forecasting methods, deep forecasting models have gained popularity as they can utilize hidden feature patterns in time series to improve forecasting performance. Nevertheless, the majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Zhendong Wang , Ioanna Miliou , Isak Samsten , Panagiotis Papapetrou

As a consequence of the high variability of load demand and renewable generation, long-term and high-resolution inputs are required for power system expansion planning, making the problem intractable in real-world applications. Time series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Ruiqi Zhang , Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon H. Tindemans

Time series forecasting has played a pivotal role across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Due to the abundant seasonal information they contain, timestamps possess the potential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Jianxin Liao

Time series forecasting faces two important but often overlooked challenges. Firstly, the inherent random noise in the time series labels sets a theoretical lower bound for the forecasting error, which is positively correlated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Tianyi Shi , Zhu Meng , Yue Chen , Siyang Zheng , Fei Su , Jin Huang , Changrui Ren , Zhicheng Zhao

Real-world time series often exhibit a non-stationary nature, degrading the performance of pre-trained forecasting models. Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) addresses this by adjusting models during inference, but existing methods typically update…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Heitor R. Medeiros , Hossein Sharifi-Noghabi , Gabriel L. Oliveira , Saghar Irandoust