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This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

We investigate the impact of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) 2024 data on dark energy scenarios. We thus analyze three typologies of models, the first in which the cosmic speed up is related to thermodynamics, the second…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Youri Carloni , Orlando Luongo , Marco Muccino

A flat Friedman-Roberson-Walker universe dominated by a cosmological constant ($\Lambda$) and cold dark matter (CDM) has been the working model preferred by cosmologists since the discovery of cosmic acceleration. However, tensions of…

We study the performance of the spatially-flat dynamical dark energy (DE) $w_0w_a$CDM parameterization, with redshift-dependent DE fluid equation of state parameter $w(z) = w_0 + w_a z/(1+z)$, with and without a varying CMB lensing…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-15 Chan-Gyung Park , Javier de Cruz Perez , Bharat Ratra

Recently the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) provided constraints on the expansion history from their Data Release 2 (DR2). The DESI baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements are well described by a flat $\Lambda$CDM model,…

A standard tool for model selection in a Bayesian framework is the Bayes factor which compares the marginal likelihood of the data under two given different models. In this paper, we consider the class of hierarchical loglinear models for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-24 Gerard Letac , Helene Massam

In this work, we investigate new constraints on $f(T)$ gravity using the recent Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) data released by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) and the Type Ia supernovae (SNIa) catalog from the full…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-16 Celia Escamilla-Rivera , Rodrigo Sandoval-Orozco

We employ the Planck 2013 CMB temperature anisotropy and lensing data, and baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) data to constrain a phenomenological $w$CDM model, where dark matter and dark energy interact. We assume time-dependent equation of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 Jussi Valiviita , Elina Palmgren

Cosmological models are often motivated and formulated in the language of particle physics, using quantities such as the axion decay constant, but tested against data using ostensibly physical quantities, such as energy density ratios,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-16 Michael W. Toomey , Mikhail M. Ivanov , Evan McDonough

We demonstrate a methodology for optimizing the ability of future dark energy surveys to answer model selection questions, such as `Is acceleration due to a cosmological constant or a dynamical dark energy model?'. Model selection Figures…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Catherine Watkinson , Andrew R. Liddle , Pia Mukherjee , David Parkinson

In many hypothesis testing applications, we have mixed priors, with well-motivated informative priors for some parameters but not for others. The Bayesian methodology uses the Bayes factor and is helpful for the informative priors, as it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-05 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

We propose novel Bayesian Dynamic Clustering Factor Models (BDCFM) for the analysis of multivariate longitudinal data. BDCFM combines factor models with hidden Markov models to concomitantly perform dimension reduction, clustering, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Tsering Dolkar , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Hwasoo Shin , Allison N. Tegge

In order to explain the current acceleration of the Universe, the fine tuning problem of the cosmological constant $\Lambda$ and the cosmic coincidence problem, different alternative models have been proposed in the literature. We use the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-13 Alexander Bonilla Rivera , Jorge García Farieta

We present profile-likelihood constraints on velocity-independent dark matter-proton scattering, including cases in which only a fraction of dark matter has such non-gravitational interactions. Frequentist profile-likelihood techniques…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-27 Maria C. Straight , Tanvi Karwal , José Luis Bernal , Kimberly K. Boddy

Baryon acoustic oscillation measurements by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (Data Release 1) have revealed exciting results that show evidence for dynamical dark energy at $\sim3\sigma$ when combined with cosmic microwave…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-30 Bikash R. Dinda , Roy Maartens

We report cosmological results from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) measurements of baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) when combined with recent data from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT). By jointly analyzing ACT and…

Recent results from Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO), in combination with cosmic microwave background (CMB) measurements, have focused renewed attention on dark energy models with a time-varying…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-31 Anowar J. Shajib , Joshua A. Frieman

We perform a late-time cosmological study; we compare the performance of two Dirac-Born-Infeld (DBI)-type k-essence scalar field extensions of the $\Lambda$CDM model to the standard framework and a wCDM scenario using the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-14 Samit Ganguly , Arijit Panda , Eduardo Guendelman , Debashis Gangopadhyay , Abhijit Bhattacharyya , Goutam Manna

Recent BAO measurements from DESI, when combined with CMB and supernovae data, suggest evolving dark energy and in particular point to a possible phantom regime, with an equation of state parameter $w<-1$. We explore an alternative…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-09 Raphaël Kou , Antony Lewis

Observational data play a pivotal role in identifying cosmological models that are both theoretically consistent and empirically viable. In this work, we investigate the level of preference for dynamical dark energy over a cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-21 Himanshu Chaudhary , Vipin Kumar Sharma , Salvatore Capozziello , G. Mustafa
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