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Economic transformation -- change in what an economy produces -- is foundational to development and rising standards of living. Our understanding of this process has been propelled recently by two branches of work in the field of economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-28 James McNerney , Yang Li , Andres Gomez-Lievano , Frank Neffke

Economic complexity has been linked to sustainability outcomes, such as income inequality and greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, it is unclear whether the pursuit of complex and/or related activities naturally aligns with these outcomes, or…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-24 Quinten De Wettinck , Karolien De Bruyne , Wouter Bam , César A. Hidalgo

We provide a mechanistic foundation for economic complexity methods. In our model, an economy's ability to produce an activity depends on the joint presence of required capabilities. We analytically derive the Economic Complexity Index…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-29 César A. Hidalgo , Viktor Stojkoski

Economic complexity reflects the amount of knowledge that is embedded in the productive structure of an economy. It resides on the premise of hidden capabilities - fundamental endowments underlying the productive structure. In general,…

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

A quite general interaction process of a multi-component system is analysed by the extended effective potential method liberated from usual limitations of perturbation theory or integrable model. The obtained causally complete solution of…

General Physics · Physics 2014-04-18 Andrei P. Kirilyuk

Modular automated driving systems commonly handle prediction and planning as sequential, separate tasks, thereby prohibiting cooperative maneuvers. To enable cooperative planning, this work introduces a prediction model that models the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Fabian Konstantinidis , Moritz Sackmann , Ulrich Hofmann , Christoph Stiller

We investigate the dynamics of growth models in terms of dynamical system theory. We analyse some forms of knowledge and its influence on economic growth. We assume that the rate of change of knowledge depends on both the rate of change of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Marek Szydlowski , Adam Krawiec

We construct a stochastic dynamical systems theory in which sustainability is a structural boundary property of a fully coupled Earth--Human--Production system. Each subsystem is modelled as a vector-valued process governed by stochastic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-02 Claudio Pirrone , Stefano Fricano , Gioacchino Fazio

We develop a tractable macroeconomic model that captures dynamic behaviors across multiple timescales, including business cycles. The model is anchored in a dynamic capital demand framework reflecting an interactions-based process whereby…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-08 Karl Naumann-Woleske , Michael Benzaquen , Maxim Gusev , Dimitri Kroujiline

Universal and rigorously derived concept of dynamic complexit (physics/9806002) shows that any system of interacting components, including society and civilisation, exists only as a process of highly inhomogeneous, qualitative development…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrei P. Kirilyuk

By generalizing a class of models recently introduced to account for protracted transients in biological systems, we identify a novel mechanism for hyperuniformity. In this model, competition of particles over a shared resource guides the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-11 Tal Agranov , Natan Wiegenfeld , Omer Karin , Benjamin D. Simons

Economic growth is often associated with diversification of economic activities. Making a product in a country is dependent on having, and acquiring, the capabilities needed to make the product, making the process path-dependent. We derive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-05 Neave O'Clery , Muhammed A. Yildirim , Ricardo Hausmann

In classical information theory, a causal relationship between two variables is typically modelled by assuming that, for every possible state of one of the variables, there exists a particular distribution of states of the second variable.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Joel R. Peck , David Waxman

Many complex systems satisfy a set of constraints on their degrees of freedom, and at the same time, they are able to work and adapt to different conditions. Here, we describe the emergence of this ability in a simplified model in which the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Ginestra Bianconi , Roberto Mulet

Many branches of theoretical and applied mathematics require a quantifiable notion of complexity. One such circumstance is a topological dynamical system - which involves a continuous self-map on a metric space. There are many notions of…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Suddhasattwa Das

Temporally evolving systems are typically modeled by dynamic equations. A key challenge in accurate modeling is understanding the causal relationships between subsystems, as well as identifying the presence and influence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 András Telcs , Marcell T. Kurbucz , Antal Jakovác

Dynamic complexity is concerned with updating the output of a problem when the input is slightly changed. We study the dynamic complexity of model checking a fixed monadic second-order formula over evolving subgraphs of a fixed maximal…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-02-20 Patricia Bouyer-Decitre , Vincent Jugé , Nicolas Markey

Economic complexity - a group of dimensionality-reduction methods that apply network science to trade data - represented a paradigm shift in development economics towards materializing the once-intangible concept of capabilities as…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-08 Ziang Huang , Huashan Chen

We present a novel, conditional generative probabilistic model of set-valued data with a tractable log density. This model is a continuous normalizing flow governed by permutation equivariant dynamics. These dynamics are driven by a…

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