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The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

The Drift-Diffusion Model (DDM) is widely used in neuropsychological studies to understand the decision process by incorporating both reaction times and subjects' responses. Various models have been developed to estimate DDM parameters,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Zekai Jin , Yaakov Stern , Seonjoo Lee

We propose a general methodology for recovering preference parameters from data on choices and response times. Our methods yield estimates with fast ($1/n$ for $n$ data points) convergence rates when specialized to the popular Drift…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Federico Echenique , Alireza Fallah , Michael I. Jordan

First passage time models describe the time it takes for a random process to exit a region of interest and are widely used across various scientific fields. Fast and accurate numerical methods for computing the likelihood function in these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison

Animals can quickly learn the timing of events with fixed intervals and their rate of acquisition does not depend on the length of the interval. In contrast, recurrent neural networks that use gradient based learning have difficulty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Gabriele Cimolino , Francois Rivest

Drift in machine learning refers to the phenomenon where the statistical properties of data or context, in which the model operates, change over time leading to a decrease in its performance. Therefore, maintaining a constant monitoring…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Saeed Khaki , Akhouri Abhinav Aditya , Zohar Karnin , Lan Ma , Olivia Pan , Samarth Marudheri Chandrashekar

Despite their outstanding performance in a broad spectrum of real-world tasks, deep artificial neural networks are sensitive to input noises, particularly adversarial perturbations. On the contrary, human and animal brains are much less…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Xiyuan Chen , Xingyu Li , Yi Zhou , Tianming Yang

Can a diffusion model produce its own "mental average" of a concept-one that is as sharp and realistic as a typical sample? We introduce Diffusion Mental Averages (DMA), a model-centric answer to this question. While prior methods aim to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Phonphrm Thawatdamrongkit , Sukit Seripanitkarn , Supasorn Suwajanakorn

Ensuring safe interactions between autonomous vehicles (AVs) and human drivers in mixed traffic systems remains a major challenge, particularly in complex, high-risk scenarios. This paper presents a cognition-decision framework that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Heye Huang , Zheng Li , Hao Cheng , Haoran Wang , Junkai Jiang , Xiaopeng Li , Arkady Zgonnikov

Recently, many studies have shed light on the high adaptivity of deep neural network methods in nonparametric regression models, and their superior performance has been established for various function classes. Motivated by this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Akihiro Oga , Yuta Koike

Deployed machine learning models are confronted with the problem of changing data over time, a phenomenon also called concept drift. While existing approaches of concept drift detection already show convincing results, they require true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Lucas Baier , Tim Schlör , Jakob Schöffer , Niklas Kühl

By means of rather general arguments, based on an approach due to Derrida that makes use of samples of finite size, we analyse the effective diffusivity and drift tensors in certain types of random medium in which the motion of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 D S Dean , I T Drummond , R R Horgan

We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-26 Vaibhav Srivastava , Philip Holmes , Patrick Simen

Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

Trajectory prediction is an essential component in autonomous driving, particularly for collision avoidance systems. Considering the inherent uncertainty of the task, numerous studies have utilized generative models to produce multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Chen Liu , Shibo He , Haoyu Liu , Jiming Chen

This paper investigates a financial market where returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. While the observation of returns yields information about the underlying drift, we also incorporate discrete-time expert opinions as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal , Ralf Wunderlich

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

In safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis, the reliability of machine learning models is crucial. One significant challenge to reliability is concept drift, which can cause model deterioration over time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Anton Winter , Nicolas Jourdan , Tristan Wirth , Volker Knauthe , Arjan Kuijper

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Wendi Li , Xiao Yang , Weiqing Liu , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian

We propose a hybrid approach to temporal anomaly detection in access data of users to databases --- or more generally, any kind of subject-object co-occurrence data. We consider a high-dimensional setting that also requires fast computation…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Eyal Gutflaish , Aryeh Kontorovich , Sivan Sabato , Ofer Biller , Oded Sofer
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