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Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

Over-the-air computation (AirComp) seamlessly integrates communication and computation by exploiting the waveform superposition property of multiple-access channels. Different from the existing works that focus on transceiver design of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-02 Min Fu , Yong Zhou , Yuanming Shi , Wei Chen , Rui Zhang

Training data attribution (TDA) methods aim to measure how training data impacts a model's predictions. While gradient-based attribution methods, such as influence functions, offer theoretical grounding, their computational costs make them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Weiwei Sun , Haokun Liu , Nikhil Kandpal , Colin Raffel , Yiming Yang

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

Global air quality forecasting grapples with extreme spatial heterogeneity and the poor generalization of existing transductive models to unseen regions. To tackle this, we propose OmniAir, a semantic topology learning framework tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Zhiqing Cui , Siru Zhong , Ming Jin , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Nathan Doumèche , Francis Bach , Éloi Bedek , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer , Yannig Goude

This paper introduces a novel two-dimensional (2D) time series forecasting model that integrates cohort behavior over time, addressing challenges in small data environments. We demonstrate its efficacy using multiple real-world datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Yonathan Guttel , Orit Moradov , Nachi Lieder , Asnat Greenstein-Messica

This paper introduces a new approach for Multivariate Time Series forecasting that jointly infers and leverages relations among time series. Its modularity allows it to be integrated with current univariate methods. Our approach allows to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Victor Garcia Satorras , Syama Sundar Rangapuram , Tim Januschowski

Cloud native solutions are widely applied in various fields, placing higher demands on the efficient management and utilization of resource platforms. To achieve the efficiency, load forecasting and elastic scaling have become crucial…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Linfeng Wen , Minxian Xu , Adel N. Toosi , Kejiang Ye

Using environmental sensory data can enhance communications beam training and reduce its overhead compared to conventional methods. However, the availability of fresh sensory data during inference may be limited due to sensing constraints…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-04 Abolfazl Zakeri , Nhan Thanh Nguyen , Ahmed Alkhateeb , Markku Juntti

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models achieve efficient scaling through sparse expert activation, but often suffer from suboptimal routing decisions due to distribution shifts in deployment. While existing test-time adaptation methods could…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Guinan Su , Yanwu Yang , Li Shen , Lu Yin , Shiwei Liu , Jonas Geiping

Many learning tasks involve multi-modal data streams, where continuous data from different modes convey a comprehensive description about objects. A major challenge in this context is how to efficiently interpret multi-modal information in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Amila Silva , Shanika Karunasekera , Christopher Leckie , Ling Luo

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

As climate change intensifies, the urgency for accurate global-scale disaster predictions grows. This research presents a novel multimodal disaster prediction framework, combining weather statistics, satellite imagery, and textual insights.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Gengyin Liu , Huaiyang Zhong

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in data mining, driving rapid advancements across numerous industries. With the emergence of large models, time series foundation models (TSFMs) have exhibited remarkable generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Huanyu Zhang , Chang Xu , Yi-Fan Zhang , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Jiang Bian , Tieniu Tan

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The current Air Traffic Management (ATM) system worldwide has reached its limits in terms of predictability, efficiency and cost effectiveness. Different initiatives worldwide propose trajectory-oriented transformations that require high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Alevizos Bastas , Theocharis Kravaris , George A. Vouros

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin